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Sunday, February 8, 2009

[ALOCHONA] Gen Moeen, DGFI, outfit of Dark Age: Democracy under Attack

As fittingly pointed out by Rashed Khan Menon, Abdul Jalil and many other politician, business personal, member of civil society, journalists, teachers in reference to a dangerously harmful organization of Bangladesh military intelligence unit called DGFI, which got its schooling from its predecessor a notorious organization in south Asia naming ISI (Inter Services Intelligence) of Pakistan.

 

Similar to his uniformed, booted, gun blazing, tank-riding predecessors Gen. Moeen also came to power in January 11 of 2007 along with his comrades in crime with ambition to control the politics of Bangladesh and to settle him to the throne of power. However, unfortunate for him but fortunate for the nation he could not sustain his grip in power for too long for few reasons.

  • One, the change in world politics, where it is very difficult for a uniformed bayonet charging men to get approval from international power brokers.
  • Secondly, his civil associates and military co-conspirator locked into power battle.
  • Thirdly, Gen. Moeen and his associates failed to construct political collaborators wing called Kings Party similar to what Pakistan army did by creating collaborators called Razakar during liberation war of Bangladesh.

 

Along with many other complicatedness and the previously mentioned reasons Gen. Moeen and his collaborators could not produce the chicken out of the egg they laid on 1/11/2007, therefore, they had to take a hike out of power once they found egg got rotten and there is no chance to get the chicken ever again.

 

Now after twenty-five months of him (Gen. Moeen and his collaborators) settling in power all magical illusion evaporated and real face of his regime is coming out for scrutiny. He himself foolishly pitched the ball after publishing his book to self-portrait him as male Joan of Ark who saved France from England, in his case saving Bangladesh.

 

We as a nation regrettably has seen fair enough share of military vandalism creating wrack of political institutions, complete destruction of constitution, mockery of controlled democracy, smack over human right in the name of salvaging sovereignty and establishing peoples rule.

 

We have seen Field Marshal Ayub Khan (1958-1969), Gen. Yahya Khan (1969-1971), Gen Ziaur Rahman (1975-1981), Hossain Mohammad Ershad (1982-1990) and lastly Gen. Moeen (2007-2009) until January of this year iron handedly ruling the country where all civil and human  rights was curtailed in the name of salvaging sovereignty and establishing peoples rule.

 

Altogether people of then Pakistan (East-West) and now Bangladesh had to go through TWENTY NINE years military or semi military rule out of FIFTY TWO years since 1947 separation of undivided India. FIFTY-TWO minus TWENTY-NINE, therefore the country was under civil rule for only TWENTY-THREE years. Even out of Thirty-Seven years of independent of Bangladesh, the country was under direct or indirect military rule for over Sixteen years. Nevertheless, when it comes to failure that the country had to endure, military outfits out rightly puts all blames unto civil political government. I agree that people of Bangladesh is not in a mood to spare politicians after having extremely dreadful experience under civil political rule. Nevertheless, military rule cannot be judged as alternative to elected civil political rule.

 

There is no doubt after coming across at all the glinting data available in hand for last many decades which indicate chiefly blame goes to unlawful military rulers who ruled the country on and off for grueling long twenty nine yeas. These adventurous military rulers never allowed the elected civil political government to settle and democracy to be institutionalized.

 

Military dictator used ISI during Pakistan and DGFI during Bangladesh to intimidate, torture, torment and bully politics, politician, media, civil society, Bureaucrats, civil law enforcing agency, civil courts to construct devastating Authoritarian Rule.

 

Time has come; a new era is ahead where demand for War Criminals came into light after thirty-seven years. Demand for judicial/parliamentarian probe into killers of democracy is also very powerful demand of the day. We must bring those perpetrators held responsible for using our military and its intelligence wing DGFI for contending to power.

 

Military rule cannot be alternative to civil rule. Military must remain completely under elected civil authority at any cost at any given time. We must stop calling army, which sides with unlawful military dictators as patriotic force. We must acknowledge that military personal that sides with unlawful military rule over elected governments are nothing but traitors and their acts are treacherous. We must encourage all ranks and files in the military to overpower any treacherous move by ambitious generals and their collaborators to control people of Bangladesh.

 

Everyone must understand if the heads does wrong then the entire body gets the shake. If AL or BNP heads do wrong then the entire party has to take the blame and suffer then why not army takes the blame when their heads and their collaborators kill our presidents, leaders in jail, housewives in their bedrooms, underage children begging for life, unborn children in their mothers womb.

 

If military can take control of elected civil government for their perceived failure then why not citizens of the country take control of the military cantonments for treachery led by their heads?

 

If the military intelligence DGFI can blindfold politicians unlawfully and whisk them away for torture then why not civil government order its legally recognized police authority to lawfully arrest those culprits and bring them to justice? How far the nation has to cry for justice and the army authority will hide their faults?

 

People of Bangladesh demands everyone will straightened their acts, politicians will come out and take responsibility for their misdeeds and military leaders will come clean and stop murderous adventure. Bloodshed and bloodbath must STOP on all side.

 

Nation has seen the long procession of politicians, civilians, teachers, journalists, businessman going to jail under military rule, some rightfully for their ghastly deeds but many for making the couch less throne for military dictators to stretch out. Time has come to see procession of military personal going to jail who committed crime since the emancipation of Bangladesh. We pupil learned one thing in last two years no one is indispensible no matter how powerful they are, we want to see that remains true under civil government.

 

Bangladesh Army, which fought the battle of liberation to free the country from the clutches of military rulers of Pakistan, cannot and shall not turn into a den of ghostly Pakistan and give rebirth of Ayub-Yahya regime. Policy of ISI of Pakistan cannot and shall not be the policy of DGFI of Bangladesh.

 

Sincerely

Shamim Chowdhury

Maryland, USA

==========================================

 
Menon slams Gen Moeen, DGFI
 
 
Sun, Feb 8th, 2009 11:49 pm BdST
Dhaka, Feb 08 (bdnews24.com)— Army chief Gen Moeen U Ahmed and military spy outfit DGFI came under heavy fire on Sunday from yet another MP who demanded a parliamentary probe into allegations of torture brought by fellow politicians.

"Following in the footsteps of Pakistan's ISI (Inter Services Intelligence), the DGFI created an information wing through which it controlled the TV stations and other news organisations," Workers Party's Rashed Khan Menon told parliament.

"Through its political wing, DGFI tried to control politics; tried to form (new) political parties; tried to form a king's party; sought to create division within political parties in the name of reform," Menon said.

"Has Bangladesh been turned into Pakistan?"

Menon did not spare Gen Moeen.

"The army chief wrote in his book that the people wanted to see the army in power. The army took over with a civilian façade. Their real face was exposed a few days later.

"That it was an army-controlled government has never been disputed by anyone.

"We have seen poor people suffer. We have seen prices of commodities soar. They wanted us to change our food habit. (Former BNP finance minister) Saifur Rahman told us to eat cabbages. And the army chief wanted us to eat potatoes," Menon said.

He said the DGFI tortured Abdul Jalil, Sheikh Fazlul Karim Selim, Obaidul Quader and M K Alamgir in its custody.

Speaking in parliament last week, Jalil and Alamgir both alleged torture in the DGFI custody.

They later appeared on TV talk shows to charge the spy agency with mistreatment of politicians. Alamgir was particularly scathing about the agency, and even named senior army officers who were allegedly involved.

"We must form a parliamentary committee and take action against DGFI now," Menon told deputy speaker retired colonel Shawkat Ali, who was in the chair when the MP spoke.

"They carried out activities against politics in the guise of an anti-corruption drive," he said.

"We don't want to keep validating such activities in future on the ground of the 'doctrine of necessity'. Parliament will decide how the country will be run," Menon said, referring to the law minister's recent remarks.

Shafiq Ahmed said Thursday that the so-called doctrine of necessity would force parliament to validate the military-installed government's actions.

Menon said he backed the minister, but for one last time.

Home minister Shahara Khatun, Ruhul Amin Hawlader, Mostofa Jalal Mohiuddin, Nazrul Islam Babu, Golam Moula Roni, K M Khalid, Sadhan Chandra Majumder and Moazzem Hossain Ratan also spoke on the president's speech.

bdnews24.com/krc/sum/ma/2335hrs
WARNING: Any unauthorised use or reproduction of bdnews24.com content for commercial purposes is strictly prohibited and constitutes copyright infringement liable to legal action.

 




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[ALOCHONA] Load shedding grips country

Load shedding grips country
Courtesy New Age 9/2/09

Another power plant closes

Power outages turned severe Sunday evening following further drop in generation as the 70MW Baghabari power plant was closed because of ‘gas shortage’.
   The load shedding reached almost 1000MW at 7:00pm on Sunday as the Power Development Board’s generation came down to 3178MW against the official demand of around 4150MW.
   Officials of the PDB said that the closure of Baghabari power plant due to low pressure of gas and the tripping of 360MW Haripur independent power plant on Thursday due to a technical fault had resulted in a huge gap between the demand and supply.
   The PDB generated around 3300MW at 7:00pm on Saturday against the demand of 4050MW. The demand of electricity on Saturday was low as the day fell in the weekend.
   According to the PDB officials, the demand of electricity rose on Sunday as the weather got warmer on the eve of summer.
   The actual demand of electricity, however, should be around 4500MW at present while it will rise to over 5700MW during the summer as per the power system master plan, approved by the government.
   Most of the areas of the capital and other parts of the country faced two to four hours of load shedding Sunday evening following the fall in generation.
   The Dhaka Power Distribution Company which supplies electricity to the capital and the neighbouring areas had received 1280MW of electricity from the PDB before 6:00pm. The PDB asked the company at around 7:00pm to supply 1160MW following the drop in generation. The demand of electricity in the city is around 1600MW.
   Sources in the PDB said that the current spell of power shortage was likely to worsen in the coming days with the rise in demand. Besides, the Haripur IPP is unlikely to come into operation before March.

 




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[ALOCHONA] Re: CBd, USA appreciates EC for listening its call

Dear Alochok Mithu

Greetings to you from Kuwait!

I enjoy your postings very much and find that I disagree very little
with you say in principle. However, even those who agree with you may
disagree a little with your approach. I speak to you respectfully and
affectionately.

Your call for the EC to act where Upazilla Election results are
disputed is welcome as it echoes the thoughts of so many of us.

However to then claim that a Government listened to a particular call
of yours gives uneccessary ammunition to the slaves of the nethri
system and unecessary disquiet to your well wishers. You will find
yourself openly criticised for being dictatorial, conceited and
delusional. And I don't think any such comments are actually true.

When people attack us personally we need to be careful and identify
if they are doing so because they have little else to actually
contribute to the subject or because our sincere arguments have have
been misunderstood due to poor construction, poor language or poor
style. If we are misunderstood then we must try harder to be
understood.

Even if the Government sent one a personal letter of thanks for one's
advice one should not publicise it however happy one is.

I may sound patronising but this is based on my own failings and
losses.

Style. Its almost as important as substance!

My best wishes to you

Ezajur Rahman
Kuwait

--- In alochona@yahoogroups.com, "M. M. Chowdhury \(Mithu\)"
<cgmpservices@...> wrote:
>
> I do appreciate Election Commission (EC) in Bangladesh for
listening my personal call/email to look after these disputed
UpaZilla election results.  This is the first step within the
Democratic process and EC is upholding people's choice/vote.
>  
> Regards,
> M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu), Virginia, USA
> Change Bangladesh Organization (CBd), USA
> www.changebangladesh.org
>  
> ....................................................................
............
> EC withholds 44 upazila polls results
> by priyo.com | February 4, 2009 - 9:40pm
>
> Among the polls in 62 districts, the Election Commission on
Wednesday forwarded the list containing results of 426 upazilas to
the Government Printing Press for publication in the official
gazette, keeping election results of 44 upazilas withheld.
>  
> The EC will gradually send the upazila election results from two
districts -- Feni and Laxmipur -- to the press after approval of the
commission.
>  
> The 44 upazilas where results are withheld: Gazaria (Munshiganj),
Kishoreganj (Nilphamari), Jagannathpur (Sunamganj), Islampur and
Madarganj (Jamalpur), Kaliganj (Gazipur), Daulatpur (Manikganj),
Pakundia (Kishoreganj), Muladi and Mehendiganj (Barisal), Saghata and
Gaibanda Sadar (Gaibandha), Barura, Muradnagar, Daudkandi, Chandina,
Nangalkot and Chouddagram (Comilla), Keraniganj (Dhaka), Dighinala
(Khagrachhari), Raipura (Narsingdi), Fatikchhari (Chittagong), Kachua
(Chandpur), Ukhia and Teknaf (Cox¢s Bazar), Morelganj and Sharankhola
(Bagerhat), Nesarabad and Zianagar (Pirojpur), Belkuchi, Ullapara and
Chouhali (Sirajganj), Ajmiriganj (Habiganj), Banchharampur, B¢baria
Sadar, Ashuganj and Kasba (B¢Baria), Atpara and Netrakona Sadar
(Netrakona), Harinakunda (Jhenidah), Araihazar (Narayanganj),
Madaripur Sadar, and Nandail and Bhaluka (Mymensingh).
>  
> Talking to the reporters today (Wednesday), EC senior assistant
secretary M Abdul Baten said the results of the remaining two
upazilas would be forwarded to the press for publication in the
gazette after approval by the commission.
>  
> The Election Commission is busy looking into the alleged
irregularities and complaints filed against the upazila elections. As
the allegations are quite large in number, there is a delay in
sending the results for publication in the gazette.
>  
> --UNB, Dhaka
>
> --- On Tue, 1/27/09, M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu) <cgmpservices@...>
wrote:
>
> From: M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu) <cgmpservices@...>
> Subject: Cancel Disputed Upazilla Election Results NOW
> To: cgmpservices@...
> Date: Tuesday, January 27, 2009, 12:08 PM
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> I like to reiterate that if AL wants to regain its trust among
general people,  they need to ask EC to cancel all Upazilla election
results at the disputed areas.  More than 50% election results should
be canceled based on the reports from the ground.
>  
> I like to remind that total setup by AL in Upazilla election in
Munshigonj areas won't be acceptable.  AL thought that this is the
only Goldmine left for them since Padma Bridge will be built and
will able to maximize their corrupt money with this election setup in
that areas.  Since I am from that area and I can speak more with
facts and ground reports for this case.
>  
> This is the high time for AL to be credible for the next 5 years. 
They should cancel all Upazilla election results from these areas as
soon as possible.  AL was so greedy that  one case AL dished your own
25 yrs honest veterans leader  from this area and failed him with
vote rigging and set-up since he won't allow any corruption in that
areas for Padma Bridge.
>  
> Before your mask gets out to the public, it's your own benefit to
make it honest, make it better and make it right NOW.
>  
> I will keep pressuring AL/EC to cancel these disputed results until
you fix it yourself.  If you do not do, your credibility will be
worst soon.  I will work to save poor people wealth and their future
in that areas.
>  
> I hope someone in AL is listening my call.  God bless poor people
in that areas.
>  
> Shortcut to: http://bangladesh-web.com/view.php?hidRecord=243597
>  
> Regards,
> M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu)
> www.changebangladesh.org
>  
>  
> --------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------
> The Election Commission (EC) today suspended the polls results of
seven upazilas in line with the allegations of massive irregularities
during the polling.
>  
>
> The upazilas are Banchharampur in Brahmanbaria, Araihazar in
Narayanganj, Teknaf in Cox's Bazaar, Kaliganj in Gazipur, Mehendiganj
in Barisal, Muradnagar in Comilla and Raipura in Narsingdi, Election
Commissioner M Sakhawat Hussein said.
>  
>
> The election commissioner said a judicial inquiry committee will be
formed to investigate the allegations and a final decision will be
taken after the committee files its report.
>
> On a query he said, "Legal steps will be taken against the
lawmakers accused of exerting political influence in the January 22
upazila elections ."
>  
>
> On the election day, the EC called off elections to Brahmanbaria
Sadar, Ramganj in Laxmipur, Barura in Comilla and Belkuchi in
Sirajganj while polling of Dighinala (Khagrachari) and Ukhia (Cox's
Bazaar) had been put off before the voting day.
>
> The commissioner said the judicial inquiry committee will also
investigate the irregularities in the upazilas where elections were
postponed.
>  
>
> Re-election in these six upazilas would be held sometime soon,
Sakhawat added.
>


------------------------------------

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[ALOCHONA] Re: ILLITERATE FINANCE MINISTER AND CITIZENS

Dear Alochok Kader

The Finance Minister may be wrong. But why dilute your technical
argument so much by calling Mr AMA Muhith illiterate?

By all means rip his policies apart if you can. I welcome it. But
calling him illiterate?

Well. There aren't many who would dare say that at all. And most of
the ones who dare probably live in a compound somewhere in Pabna.

I campaigned for Mr AMA Muhith precisely because he is one of the
most literate men in Bangladesh.

He is certainly more literate that any PM we have ever had...

Ezajur Rahman
Kuwait


--- In alochona@yahoogroups.com, "J.A. Chowdhury" <Chwdhury@...>
wrote:
>
>
> Mr.Kadertruth,
> You are compleately wrong. I want to say you something. About one
year before,1 British Pound was nearly
> TK140.00 Now it is nearly TK100.00 only. About 10 lac Bangladeshi
are living in the UK. They has stop money to send Bangladesh
unnecessarily.If they get more price against British Pound I am sure
they will send more remitance.
> Not only from UK,all NRBs across the world will be benifited,
Bangladesh will get more remitance. Now tell me who is Illiterate you
or Finance Minister? You know very well, it is not Garments, Foreign
Remitance is the main source of Bangladesh government of earning
Foreign Currencies. I bought a packet of Shirmps £5 earlier.Now its
sale here £4 or less. Bangladeshi Shirmp exporter are in more
competition.If they give less wages in Shirmp factory workers,it
would be not acceptable. In Garments industry it will be the same. If
it is continue,all export oriented industry will be effected,they
will give loss because of world bad economic. As a result worker
grivances will be rise high,will start
> "Jalao Porao-Bhang Chur". In that case, I think Finance Minister is
100% correct.
>
> Regards
> J.A.Chowdhury
> http://www.live.com/getstarted.aspx
>


------------------------------------

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[ALOCHONA] Re: ACC chief rebuffs PM's claims

Dear Alochok Maqsud

My thoughts are that without father, brother, husband or son we
should not begrudge her the comfort of her sister. Should the sister
be so visible? Probably not. There's no reason why she should be. It
could be that Hasina now trusts almost no one and takes more counsel
from her sister than she should.

Rehana was there when Priyanka met Hasina. Well, no reason why
the royal family of India and the royal family of Bangladesh should
not enjoy a cup of tea together.

It's all part of this unique democracy for which more than a million
Bangladeshis died.

Just watch as professed democrats start to lobby for Joy...

Sigh.

Ezajur Rahman
Kuwait


--- In alochona@yahoogroups.com, maqsud omaba <maqsudo@...> wrote:
>
>
> Sk Rehana again!!
> ---------------------
>
> Do you see news of PM Hasina, without the mention of Princess
Rehana!
>
> Look at another news, and yes...Rehana is there!
> Whar are your comments??
>
> khoda hafez.
>
> dr. maqsud omar
>
> =============================
>
>
> PM moves on from Sudha
> Sadan to Jamuna
>
>
>
>
> Staff Correspondent
>
>
>
>
>
>
> The prime minister, Sheikh Hasina, on Friday moved on from her
private Sudha Sadan residence to the state guest house Jamuna.
> She
> will stay at Jamuna along with her family members until the Gana
> Bhaban, the official residence of the prime minister at Sher-e-
Bangla
> Nagar, is refurbished and completely prepared for her living, the
prime
> minister's press secretary Abul Kalam Azad told New Age.
> Hasina's husband Dr M Wazed Miah, daughter Saima Wazed Putul and
younger sister Sheikh Rehana accompanied her.
>


------------------------------------

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[ALOCHONA] Chatra Dal fights over age limits

JCD fights over age

Courtesy Daily Star 9/2/09

Junior leaders call for age limit, voting rights

A row has erupted within the Jatiyatabadi Chhatra Dal (JCD) over whether to impose an age limit on its leaders ahead of reshuffling the central committee.

While younger members favour an injection of fresh leadership into the BNP student wing, the majority of senior JCD leaders, who are mostly into their early forties, are not keen on upsetting the status quo.

It became a divisive issue when last week BNP chairperson Khaleda Zia met senior JCD leaders as well as the rank and file to learn their views before forming a new committee.

Senior leaders urged her to set up a convening committee for the time being and then go for a new committee with 'experienced' leaders within six months. On the other hand, a few junior leaders were keen on having voting rights to elect a new leadership.

JCD sources said electing committees of all of the 88 organisational units has long been overdue. Although the tenure of the current central committee with Azizul Bari Helal as president and Shafiul Bari Babu as general secretary has elapsed, yet it has remained unresolved for the last two years.

Some fresh student leaders even submitted a letter to members of the BNP high command including MK Anwar, Salahuddin Quader Chowdhury and Khandaker Mosharraf Hossain outlining their reasons to introduce dynamic leadership, JCD sources said.

In the letter they stated that the present JCD leadership has failed to inspire the student wing in different movements as they distance themselves from current students. Some even blasted the body for turning into a 'family of uncles'.

According to the letter, they claimed JCD president Azizul Bari Helal passed his SSC examination in 1983, senior vice-president Sultan Salahuddin Tuku and general secretary Shafiul Bari Babu in 1985 while vice-presidents Jayanta Kuman Kundu, Mostafa Khan Safari, Nurul Islam Nayan, Shahidul Islam Babul, Ekramul Haque Biplob and Azharul Haque and organising secretary Abdul Kader Bhuyian Jewel all did it in 1985-86.

Moreover, most of the central and Dhaka University unit leaders are either married, have jobs or run businesses, which most active leaders dislike as they still get priority in forming committees.

A central committee leader seeking anonymity said as it is hard for senior leaders to communicate with junior first-year students due to the age difference, so the time has come to consider imposing age restrictions.

The young leaders proposed forming the committee with leaders who passed their SSC exams in 1990 and also have experience of engaging in politics during the 1996-2001 Awami League reign.

Shafiul Bari Babu told The Daily Star, "Experienced leaders are needed to run the party when it is in the opposition and the BNP high-ups would take it into consideration. Experience can minimise the gap between general students and leaders.”

However, a Dhaka University unit leader said that the BNP central command should not interfere in the formation of the JCD's committee as it is an associate organisation of the party according to the Representation of the People's Order. Instead, it can only make suggestions.

 



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[ALOCHONA] Indo-Bangla relations remain strained after all these years


Will India and Bangladesh ever grow up and find true happiness in each other? Afsan Chowdhury asks


     Bangladesh and India continue to be unhappy with each other while remaining each other's closest neighbour. In fact for all practical purposes, it is Bangladesh's only neighbour.
   

    Historically speaking, Bangladesh provided India the grandest opportunity to craft its finest hour by defeating Pakistan on Bangladeshi soil. Yet today, there is confusion whether both are friends or foe. Bangladesh thinks a victory was possible without Indian support in 1971, while India wants eternal gratitude from Bangladesh for what it considers a favour of a lifetime. Both attitudes show how immaturely the bilateral relationship has been handled in both countries over the years. Whether they will ever grow up and treat each other as adults is sadly in doubt.
   
   The background to affection and hostility
   The Indo-Bangla relationship has to be put in the context of history. Bangladesh in its East Pakistan incarnation was 'enemy territory' which India assiduously courted as a potential migrant from Pakistani hegemonic construct. It gambled that Pakistani treatment of Bengalis was so bad that one day it would reach a breaking point as it did and Pakistan would collapse. And then India could play a role ensuring the halving of Pakistan. Of course, East Pakistan was never a military threat to India as Pakistan never invested any military resources to defend it so India could afford to be gentle.


   1971 was the darkest and the most glorious time for Bangladesh. During this period India not only gave shelter to millions of people fleeing Pakistani terror but also armed the freedom fighters and assisted the government in exile in keeping its insurrectionary flag flying. It couldn't have done more than it did.
   What however is left un-stated by Indian voices is that it wasn't plain altruism but India's self-interest as well. India wanted to break up Pakistan and the Bangladeshi nationalist movement provided it with an incredible opportunity. In a way, India should be grateful to Bangladeshis for giving India this chance. Instead, India has imaged itself only as Bangladesh's life saver, midwife and charitable uncle all rolled into one. That description is what is wrong with much of Indian policy attitude where it forgets it gains from its dealings with its smaller neighbours.


   Bangladesh on the other side feels that India had no role to play in its 1971 war of independence or only that it was a self-serving one. It thinks Bangladesh was quite capable of winning the war all by itself though it would have taken longer and India did nothing that deserves gratitude. It ignores the fact that Indian soldiers died on Bangladesh soil, gave shelter to its people and armed its resistance army. It would rather forget India existed in 1971.
   Both these views are extreme and absurd and if both the countries could ever accept the fact that it was matter of convenience for both and a convergence of two self-interests and one objective, the matter would have had a more realistic and nourishing narrative.


   It's the legacy of these misconstrued perspectives with both parties unable to see much beyond that which has led to the situation of mistrust and even hostility. It suffers from jingoism if one may say that is hurting both.
   
   Indo-Bangla: points of conflict
   Indo-Bangla relations have several major points of friction. They are: a) security, b) economic relations, c) sharing of common resources, and d) other issues including those relating to border management.


   Security issues are what occupies front pages, create most rising temperatures and recently have focused on involvement of extremist groups. It has an unfortunate long history and India did provide shelter and support to the Chittagong Hill Tracts insurgency in Bangladesh in the mid-70s. Bangladesh retaliated by providing support to the Indian North East extremists and this pattern of supporting each others' enemies has gone on.


   The recent trend has become more disturbing as Islamic extremists who are hostile to both Bangladesh and India are in operation. India has said that many of these groups operate using Bangladesh as a sanctuary. While the BNP government used the 'shelter to extremists card' to put pressure on a huge and not very sympathetic neighbour, the AL government, itself a victim of 'Islamic terrorists', should have no problem in coming to some understanding that also takes into consideration various other issues influential on the broader Indo-Bangladesh relations combo.


   The second problem between both is that of sharing of common resources with special reference to water sharing. India's arbitrary decision to construct the Farakka Barrage devastated many parts of Bangladesh, which also means that it does not receive a fair share of the Ganges river flow while getting flooded during the monsoons when India releases excess waters. The sharing of Ganges waters is a major dispute having a major impact on Bangladesh's environmental degradation.


   On these issues India has not acted in concert with genuine concerns that Bangladesh has and it has given priority to its own needs which admittedly are high. Nevertheless, it is a major friction point that needs resolution.
   Next on the plate is trade imbalance which remains the most critical point of contention now because it is a multi-billion dollar ongoing transaction, both officially and through unofficial channels and both countries have a huge stake in this. However, to what extent the two governments have been able to facilitate this and how much of this is the result of market flow is a cloudy matter. The flow greatly favours India.


   The Bangladesh finance minister AMA Muhith has said that he will try to slim down the balance of trade, but so have previous ministers and it has not happened. India certainly knows that the market is becoming captive here and no matter what the official relationship is, it will favour India. It has also used the trade issue to push for transit facilities which many in Bangladesh have seen as an intrusive demand and some even as a threat to its sovereignty.
   The position of both the countries seem to be set in political positions germinated in the archaic models of hostility all nation states were expected to have and unfortunately most still do.
   
   Bangladesh's paranoia parade
   Bangladesh has developed a paranoia complex as far as India is concerned which can be partly traced to the not so friendly historical experience with official India whether in its support to cross border insurgents, lopsided trade policies to withholding of water resources but also to the traditional hostility towards India as a legacy of its Pakistani past. Bangladesh's policy mandarins fear that unless there is some kind of leverage, India will steam roll over.


   A reality check is needed on this regard which is that if India wants, it can blow away Bangladesh in a very short while. It doesn't need transit to occupy Bangladesh. Refusing transit facilities as part of a strategy to prevent Indian intrusion into Bangladesh is a poorly thought through position. On the other hand, India is Bangladesh's principal if not its only neighbour and an economically advanced one at that. And it will remain Bangladesh's biggest business partner no matter how anti-Indian we are.


   In fact, the idea that India wants Bangladesh is an absurd proposition if one looks at what Bangladesh represents. It would be suicidal to take responsibility of Bangladesh's 150 million hostile souls. India will try everything to keep Bangladesh out. Bangladesh will also become India's monopoly market unless it produces better quality goods as India has economies of scale on its side making both quality and price favourable. So, instead of denial, Bangladesh should look at all issues as an opportunity to press for greater trade rights and the greater the Indo-Bangla trade integration, higher will be the negotiating space for both.
   
   Can India rise to become a proper regional power?
   What stands in the way of better trade between the two apart from adequate competence and capacity of Bangladeshi producers to compete in the Indian market is India's own inability to see beyond the narrow business of the immediate profit margin. It simply hasn't yet shown enough evidence to prove that it has a long term regional view and it has responsibilities as the regional superpower. It continues to behave in the same way with Nepal, Bangladesh and even Sri Lanka, its smaller and weaker partners in South Asia as it does with Pakistan its arch enemy or the rest of the world.

 

      The result has been reciprocation of hostility from these small powers because the bigger power's generous attitude is sorely missing on India's part. To achieve this requires a more constructive India in action able to see that the trade and other gaps are constantly in India's favour and such situations inevitably breed hostility. By behaving like a regional bully, a big boy in the kindergarten playpen, it has pushed down the relationship between states in South Asia to a scenario of petty bickering. It has failed its own status. It simply won't give in to the needs of the smaller states just as the smaller states are refusing to accept India as the primary power in South Asia.
   Indo-Bangla relations can improve if both parties feel that there is an opportunity to dialogue with each other to achieve mutual convenience. India and Bangladesh seem to be stuck as we have said in ancient rituals of tribal hostility although the opportunity to work for mutual benefit exists. That unfortunately requires a political will befitting the 21st century and the respective asymmetric status of both countries.Productive friendship between India and Bangladesh is possible but is anyone really interested?

 
 
 
Tremendous benefits can be derived for both Bangladesh and India from cooperation and joint action on many fronts, pursued in a spirit of mutual respect and understanding. Somehow, these possibilities have been sacrificed as negative attitudes among decision making circles have gained prominence in both the countries,
writes Qazi Kholiquzzaman Ahmad


Over past two decades and more, I have been involved in academic and advocacy exercises aimed at promoting regional, sub-regional, and bilateral cooperation in South Asia. I have seen windows opening for progress in this regard, but have then been dismayed to see setbacks dashing the emerging opportunities. The reality has generally been business-as-usual practice of lip service to the cause but no action. South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation summit declarations are, in fact, testimony to strong intents of the governments of the regional countries for cooperation building in the region and working together for mutual benefit. But, little or no follow through left the agreements reached of little or no avail for the regional countries to march forward together. Experiences are often similar in the context of sub-regional (e.g. Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna basins) and bilateral relations (e.g. between Bangladesh and India).


   It should be pointed out here that studies conducted by academics, practitioners, and campaigners have shown that, when the issues which have bilateral, sub-regional or regional perspectives are addressed jointly by the involved countries, the benefits are greater for all the participating countries than if those issues were addressed from narrow nationalistic perspectives. It would transpire that this is also the view of the governments of the regional countries that has encouraged them to negotiate and reach the various agreements — SAARC-wide, sub-regionally or bilaterally, as the case may be — for working together to address the identified issues for mutual benefit.


   Here the key question is: why has headway not been achieved in cooperation building in the region? It is argued that the regional countries have not been able to shake off the historical burden of mutual suspicion and mistrust. The regional countries have also been in the grip of narrow nationalistic politics and negative bureaucratic attitudes. It is difficult to see why all the positives by way of mutual benefits derivable from cooperation, not only in terms of economic gains but also in terms of peace and harmony and a common stance internationally, have so far failed to ride over the 'non-cooperation mode' and create an environment conducive for moving forward together. Why cannot we learn from the experiences of European Union and ASEAN, where formidable obstacles and rivalries have been overcome, enabling the countries to work together and scale ever higher levels of cooperation hugely benefiting the member countries?


   In the case of Bangladesh and India, it is extremely unfortunate that the two countries have had to remain mired in mutual mistrust and suspicion and, consequently, failed to resolve not only major but even minor issues. Ideally, Bangladesh-India relations should have been cordial and cooperative for at least two very good reasons. One is that Indians fought alongside Bangladeshis for the liberation of Bangladesh and that should have cemented a mutually beneficial friendship between the two nations. Obviously, it hasn't. The second reason is that there are tremendous benefits to be derived for both the countries from cooperation and joint action on many fronts, pursued in a spirit of mutual respect and understanding. Somehow these possibilities have been sacrificed as negative attitudes among decision making circles have gained prominence in both the countries.


   I would plead for dismantling of narrow political and bureaucratic stances in both India and Bangladesh, replacing them by an open-minded, smart, and merit-first approach to resolving the outstanding issues, both minor and major, between the two countries. Once, by so doing, available benefits are reaped and, at the same time, relations between the two countries are put on a more solid foundation, they can then work together to address such issues as inclusive growth, poverty, food security, climate change, and energy, which must be priority issues in both the countries in relation to the shaping of their future in such a manner that would be sustainable from economic, social, and environmental points of view.


   However, I have had occasions to make such pleas many times over the years and so have many others including very prominent people. But, obviously, those who could change things have not listened. The obvious choice, i.e. cooperation for mutual benefit, has not been adopted. I am not being naive in making the plea again. I do so because I am an optimist and I believe the cause is so overwhelmingly strong that one has to go on trying regardless of how many times they fail to make an impact. Eventually, the two countries would, I believe, resolve the outstanding issues and work together for mutual benefits, an outcome that should also emerge sub-regionally and South Asia-wide, given that the demands of the changing times and circumstances cannot be ignored for long, except to the peril of the countries concerned. But, to help that outcome to materialise sooner rather than later, all those who believe in the cause must keep pushing for it.


   It may be difficult to resolve just one issue to the satisfaction of both the countries. But, when negotiations take place simultaneously on a number of issues, it is possible for the two parties to negotiate on the basis of trade-offs, i.e. one party may give some concessions in respect of one issue while the other party on another issue. A process of such 'gives' and 'takes' should enable the parties to reach comprehensive agreements in the respect of the issues on the table, which will be all together beneficial for both.


   Some of the outstanding issues between Bangladesh and India are relatively straightforward while others are likely to be more complex. The relatively easy ones may be addressed first to create the right environment for tackling the more complex ones. The outstanding issues which have to be addressed would include completion of demarcation of land-border and other border issues, delineation of maritime boundaries, sharing of water resources of the common rivers (out of 54 such rivers there is a water sharing treaty with respect to only one, the Ganges); transit facilities for the passage of goods of each country through the territory of the other to destinations within the country of origin or in another country; dismantling of non-tariff and para-tariff barriers and adoption of other measures by India aimed at reducing Bangladesh's trade gap with that country; and security concerns. Other issues that either of the countries might want to include in the package may also be taken up as part of comprehensive negotiations.


   It would be in the fitness of things if India, being the much larger and economically and otherwise more powerful nation, approaches the negotiations involving gives and takes concerning different issues on the basis of the 'Gujral Doctrine', which, inter alia, states that 'with its neighbours like Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Nepal, and Sri Lanka, India does not ask for reciprocity, but gives and accommodates what it can in good faith and trust.'


   The Bangladeshi negotiators should prepare well and negotiate hard, but with an open mind to finding appropriate solutions. An open-minded approach would recognise the importance of gives and takes on different issues in the process of negotiations, facilitating mutually beneficial comprehensive agreements to be reached. Indeed, the process of negotiations must be transparent with the parliament duly involved and public domain mobilised at various stages for public feedback.


   But, given the state of play, if the fears and mistrust are to be overcome and broad political frameworks are to be worked out for cooperation, these are most likely to be accomplished if a clear understanding is reached at the summit level, i.e. at the level of Prime Ministers of the two countries, that the outstanding problems between the two countries must be resolved soon. If a clear direction is available from the top, agreements can be expected to be reached through negotiations taking place at the appropriate political and official levels. It is important that the negotiators are directed and mandated to rise above narrow departmental, bureaucratic, technocratic, and political perspectives and to take a more long-term and wider view across the board of all relevant issues, interests, and concerns. This would ensure attention to linkages and a consideration of a variety of trade-offs.


   Bangladesh may take the initiative for such a summit to be held as soon as possible so that the process of resolving the issues may start in right earnest. Indeed, careful preparations on both sides are necessary for the desired results, as indicated above, to be achieved from such a summit.


   Qazi Kholiquzzaman Ahmad is chairman of Bangladesh Unnayan Parishad and president of Bangladesh Economic Association

 

http://www.newagebd.com/2009/feb/09/oped.html




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Re: [ALOCHONA] Sajeeb Wazed Joy has a 96th percentile score in GMAT

While I agree that Joy's score is impressive in his GMAT, and I congratulate him for it, I strongly disagree that standardized tests are any indicator of someone's brilliance. Taking GMAT, GRE or ACT like tests are simply aptitude tests; a test of logical and analytical skills. A good GMAT or GRE score doesn't really mean anything beyond the admission phase. The only skills you pick up are how to cram a lot of information in a very short period, in an organized manner, and analyze it quickly.
 
Just my two cents.
 
Cyrus


From: Dr. M. Mohsin Ali <drmohsinali@yahoo.com>
To: futureofbangladesh@yahoogroups.com; alochona@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Friday, February 6, 2009 11:29:20 PM
Subject: [ALOCHONA] Sajeeb Wazed Joy has a 96th percentile score in GMAT



--- On Fri, 2/6/09, Dr. M. Mohsin Ali <drmohsinali@ yahoo.com> wrote:
From: Dr. M. Mohsin Ali <drmohsinali@ yahoo.com>
Subject: Sajeeb Wazed Joy has a 96th percentile score in GMAT
To: khabor@yahoogroups. com
Cc: furtureofbangladesh @yahoogroups. com, sonarbangladesh@ yahoogroups. com
Date: Friday, February 6, 2009, 11:18 PM



--- On Fri, 2/6/09, Dr. M. Mohsin Ali <drmohsinali@ yahoo.com> wrote:
From: Dr. M. Mohsin Ali <drmohsinali@ yahoo.com>
Subject: Sajib Wazed Joy has a 96th percentile score in GMAT
To: smahmood20@yahoo. com
Date: Friday, February 6, 2009, 10:42 PM

Shahjahan Bhai,
 
Salaams.
 
I thank you for your valuable information about Joy's brilliancy and his scores at GMAT and his Grade Average at Harvard. Your information has solidified my arguments that Joy is a brilliant student and his Harvard degree is a prestigious which he didn't buy but he earned through his hard work of study.
 
Mr. Enayetullah is basically a Jamat-oriented person. He has been writing against Awami League from the past 10 years. He has been praising all the misdeeds of the Jamat-BNP Jote Goverments from 2001 to 2006.
 
I challenged him to disclose his identity by giving his and his family's information as I have given mine so that people can know what the person is doing in his actual life. But Mr. Enayet Ullah has failed to come out with his real identity.
 
These Razakar paid agents are always after the Awami League leaders, especially Awami League Leader Sheikh Hanisa and her son Sajeed Wazed Joy. They would defame Joy in any way with a bunch of lies and misinformation.
 
I hope, after reading your information they will stop spreading lies about Joy.
 
Thank you.
 
Mohsin Ali.
 


--- On Fri, 2/6/09, Shah Mahmood <smahmood20@yahoo. com> wrote:
From: Shah Mahmood <smahmood20@yahoo. com>
Subject: Sajib Wazed Joy has a 96th percentile score in GMAT
To: BCCDIcommunity_ news@yahoogroups .com, baainews@yahoogroup s.com, khabor@yahoogroups. com, drmohsinali@ yahoo.com, Diagnose@yahoogroup s.com
Cc: dcvoice111@yahoo. com, enayet_2000@ yahoo.com, mansurk2003@ yahoo.com, khandaker.a. mansur@census. gov, 2006sattar@gmail. com, abdus.sattaar@ gmail.com, akhter@erols. com, malamgir1@aol. com
Date: Friday, February 6, 2009, 10:20 PM


Dear Mr. Enayetulla, Dr. Mohsin Ali, Mr. Asgar and others:

I have been following the discussion in this thread for the last several
weeks. I have observed that most of the discussants in the thread have made
their remarks without knowing the pertinent information about the candidate
that they are talking about.  I have been particularly surprised when
someone was hinting that Joy is anything but brilliant. A sensible person
should not pass such a sweeping remark without knowing the complete story. 

How do you measure the brilliancy of a person? In this country, the
brilliancy of a student, as far as their ability to get into a good school
is concerned, is measured by the scores that the students obtain in various
tests such as SAT, TOEFL, GRE, GMAT etc. We have seen that good schools run
after the good scorers in these tests and entice these students to their
campus - the schools even compete to get them by giving more incentives than
other offers.  I have seen that a good scorer not only gets admission but
also gets scholarships and other facilities from the school. I was surprised
to see a comment in one of these postings that some one's son can get a Harvard
degree if the perosn can spend $74,000  - there was no mention of other
requirements for the admission. Mr. Enayetullah, are you making this comment
out of personal vendetta against AL and/or Joy? Do you know how many people
in this country can spend that much money for a Harvard degree? Why then
there are only 55 students in the class? Aren't you downgrading an
institution like Harvard University by making such an irresponsible and
unfounded statement.

Sajib's GMAT score was 720 out of 800, which was a 96th percentile score
that year and his Harvard GPA was 3.63. The average GMAT score two years ago
to get into Harvard and Wharton Business Schools, the top two in the world,
was about 690. So he definitely excelled the average score requirements for
getting into the class and with this score, I am sure, he could get into
many other schools at Harvard. I am forwarding this information to let you
know that, he did not get into Harvard University because of his monetary
strength only (frankly speaking, I don't know how much he paid there), he
had other requisite qualifications - he could not have got there using his
bank balance alone.

Finally, if the scores in various tests are any measure of brilliancy at
all, then what a 96th percentile score in GMAT would mean in terms of
brilliancy? I let you judge it.

As far as the GPA is concerned, I would say that 3.63 is an impressive score
whether it is a mid-career degree or not.

Shahjahan Mahmood







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[mukto-mona] Darwin day Rally (February 12, 2009; National Museum Premises at 3 pm)

Dear all,

Under the joint initiative of Shiksha Andolnn Mancha & Muktomona with
other organisations, a rally would be brought out on Darwin day,
February 12, 2009 to celebrate the 200th year of birth ceremony of
Charles Darwin.

The rally will start from National Museum Premises at 3 pm and end at
Aprajeya Bangla at DU Campus.

It will be followed by a seminar on Darwinism organised by Biggan
Chetana Parisad. The seminar will be opened by botanist Shri Dwijen
Sharma in which many renowned Darwinists of Bangladesh will address.
We have decided to celebrate the occasion throughout the year at
different places of Bangladesh. A national committee headed by Prof.
Ajoy Roy has been constituted to chalk out a year long programme.
All local Mukto-monas are requested to attend the rally and the
seminar.


Mukto-Mona Moderators

------------------------------------

****************************************************
Mukto Mona plans for a Grand Darwin Day Celebration:
Call For Articles:

http://mukto-mona.com/wordpress/?p=68

http://mukto-mona.com/banga_blog/?p=585

****************************************************

VISIT MUKTO-MONA WEB-SITE : http://www.mukto-mona.com/

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[ALOCHONA] Financial and Strategic Warning to Current Govt in Bangladesh

I am so much worry about few of Moran Minsters in Bangladesh that they may sink the ship in Bangladesh while they are in driver seats.  The reason of my frustration is that they are stoning wrong birds to accomplish people needs.  Now I am hearing the following statements:
 
 
2) Signing Transit Agreement with India is not ripe time yet.  Every country is building bunkers for their survival, nobody will give you more, so signing with them won't help you a penny.
 
3) South Asian Security Force.  A recipe for a disaster unless Bangladesh is Iraq or Afghanistan situation.  US canceled TIFA since they are in big hole in financial situation.
 
4) Trail of Razakar.  This will take off our real focus of emergency needs in Bangladesh.
 
5) Law and Order is deteriorating - Taj.  This is the benchmark for any Govt success.
 
The bottom line is that why either AL or BNP parties does not have qualified people to run Bangladesh and establish the priorities that they need to focus.  I am more than convinced now that Current Govt needs to bring expertise and experiences NRBs to develop few strategic plan and focus which will help Bangladesh next 3-4 years.
 
I hope that someone in AL Govt listening my call.  Even they do not listen to me,  I have nothing to loose but I believe that I should do for Bangladesh as much as possible with my power and limitation.
 
God Bless Bangladesh and help poor people in this coming financial storm. 
 
Regards,
M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu), Virginia, USA
 
 

--- On Sun, 2/1/09, M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu) <cgmpservices@yahoo.com> wrote:
From: M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu) <cgmpservices@yahoo.com>
Subject: Bangladesh Needs Local Stimulate Package
To: cgmpservices@yahoo.com
Date: Sunday, February 1, 2009, 9:25 PM


The following are real strategies which will help Bangladesh to ride over this upcoming financial turmoil:
 
1) Provide stimulate package to ICT companies and provide all Govt ICT projects to locals to make digital Bangladesh.  If some one in current Govt knows what digital means to them.  Use local programmers and networking engineers to employ as much as possible.  This will create enough works to keep ICT going with creating more jobs.
 
2) Provide enough finance to build the Pharmaceuticals park at Munshigonj.  20% works was done, complete this projects which will create huge jobs for now.
 
3) Since overseas market is bad,  few of NRBs might be interested to come back Bangladesh to develop this country with their expertis and experiences.  Govt needs to make sure to provide tax free income during their stay in Bangladesh like Middle Eastern Countires.  Provide enough facilities and security to perform their work during living in Bangladesh.
 
4) If there is less corruption in Bangladesh,  NRBs might be interested to invest in Bangladesh to take opportunity during this financial turmoil.
 
5) Bangladesh Govt needs to adopt new policy to attract NRBs in Bangladesh.
 
Regards,
M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu), Virginia, USA
www.changebangladesh.org

--- On Fri, 1/30/09, M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu) <cgmpservices@yahoo.com> wrote:
From: M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu) <cgmpservices@yahoo.com>
Subject: Perfect Storm is coming to Bangladesh
To: cgmpservices@yahoo.com
Date: Friday, January 30, 2009, 5:28 PM

Dear All,
 
You may wonder what kind of storm I am talking about.  It's  economical storm that Bangladesh never experienced before.  I am little bit worried that economists and present Minsters in Bangladesh are not paying much attention about this storm.  Well the problem is that if you do not know a Storm is coming, then you won't be prepared for it.  There will be a situation that we will start blame game, he or she didn't tell me, I didn't know, nobody even PM didn't say this.  Well then listen from me please.
 
My conservative estimate is that economical storm in the world will exist until 2012,  if you can ride on this storm, then you will survive, if you can't then good luck.  I like to provide few strategic outlines what to do in this perfect economical storm in Bangladesh.
 
1) Current Govt should recognize that a perfect storm is coming.  If USA could recognize this storm in 2006,  USA won't be in this position now.
 
2) Put resources in place so Govt can take care its people and feed them trough out the storm period.
 
3) Stop biased or favoritism in Bangladesh.  Once I am hungry,  I won't say I am AL or BNP,  all I will say give me food and job to survive.  So based on basis of human rights,  its current Govt duty to help people regardless his or her party affiliations.
 
4) Bangladesh Real Estate bubble will be burst within year and so, so Govt should be prepared with huge layoff in that sector as well as other sectors.  Most of the Real Estate bubble in Bangladesh were created by NRBs and corrupted money in Bangladesh.  NRBs are real squeeze in financial aspect and won't be able to continue support the sky rocket price of land and apartments in Bangladesh.
 
5) Pharmaceuticals is the only sector which is recession proved in Bangladesh.  I have asked BNP Govt in 2005 to modernize this sector, CTG in 2007 and I am asking AL Govt in 2009 to pay attention and use NRBs expertise to develop this sector.  This is the only sector that you have no choice but to bring experts NRBs in Bangladesh to develop this sector for future growth.
 
6) NRBs and people in Bangladesh should lower their life style to ride on this storm.  Excessive waste will bring up other people's misery.
 
God Bless Bangladesh and help her 150 Million poor people in this coming perfect Storm.
 
Note:  My advise is not to direct any individuals or parties or NRBs, but to reach out to them and what we can do for the people during this bad economical  times.
 
Regards,
M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu), USA
Director, Political and Economical Development in Bangladesh
Change Bangladesh organization, USA
www.changebanglades h.org


--- On Tue, 1/20/09, M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu) <cgmpservices@yahoo.com> wrote:
From: M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu) <cgmpservices@yahoo.com>
Subject: [khabor.com] Why USA won't able to get out of this financial mess
To: cgmpservices@yahoo.com
Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2009, 12:41 PM

Dear All,
 
I think and believe that we in USA are concern like any others about financial impact in USA and rest of the world and where this will lead us in the next 8 years.  I congratulate President Obama for taking the USA leadership but I am cautious like others even though I have campaign for Obama among Bangladeshi Community in USA.
 
Let's see the scenario why USA is in this position which is very different than 1930's and what steps should be taken for the incremental improvement.
 
Reasons for this mess
 
1) More than $20T, start with Trillion dollars of investors money has been lost in the last 12 months including personal 401K money. So the people confidence in companies is lower than ever.
 
2) More than 500,000 jobs have been cut per month by companies in USA, if it's continue then at the end of 2009 total 6 million jobs will be lost.  Adding 2 million jobs already have been lost in the last 24 months.  This is creating a nightmare for the consumers to spend  discretionary money.
 
3) Two third of the economy are depended on consumer spending,  when consumer stopped buying like before,  companies can not make money, their stocks goes down and companies start laying off to make baseline profit for the company.  This is called a cycle of uncertainty.
 
4) Biggest problem is that USA consumers has borrowed two times of their house worth for the last 5 years.  For example, if a house price is $100K in 1999, it went up to $300K in 2006, so extra $200K was borrowed from foreign countries to mortgage people's houses in USA.  Therefore, deficit went over the roof.  If this is continued,  few wealthy countries might not be interested to invest in USA like before because losing confidence into USA economy and their investment returns.
 
5) Once people lost jobs, they can not afford to pay high mortgage which they could not afford at the first place.  US Govt can not pay everybody extra interest for the mortgage they owe to banks.  This might come over $10T, start with Trillion.
 
6) Once companies make less money, the Govt tax collection also becomes low.  So more deficit for USA.  Intake is higher than delivery.
 
7) USA does not have leadership of many technologies like before, so USA has more competitors than before i.e. China and India.
 
8) More liability for baby boomers in years ahead, means need more money to take care her citizens like Social Security and Medicare.
 
9) Iraq war alone costs USA close to $1T and need another $1.2T to take care veterans health and financial liabilities.
 
10) Dollar might go down compare to others currency once foreign countries start withdraw their investment or stopped new investment in USA, i.e.  stop buying USA Bond.
 
Options to way of of this mess:
 
So what do USA have now?  President Obama's sweet talks might not bring much fruits unless he can show leadership and put new policies in place very quickly, so situation does not get out of control.  I personally think that President Obama should do the following for the love of this country.
 
1)  President Obama should provide executive order to cut military budget of $465B to only $50B.  Bring all military installation back home unless foreign countries provide the bill.
 
2) Provide middle class incentives as soon as possible.
 
3) Stop giving big money to banks but give direct loan to consumers from Govt Treasure.  I know it does not sound Capitalist,  but US Govt does not have any other option.  For example,  If I know that this consumer will not able to pay back my money,  I won't make loan to him even I get pressured from Govt unless Govt takes all the toxic assets.  Same situation, Banks are not lending even they got US Govt money.  Banks know consumers do not have enough money or may lose job soon whichever is first.
 
4) Provide stimulate money if there is any Corrective and Preventive Action (CAPA) in place for the new projects which will create jobs.
 
I hope and pray US gets out of this mess but I am very pessimistic now based on the scenario I have presented you here, unless miracle happens in USA.
 
God bless USA and her people.
 
Regards,
M. M. Chowdhury (Mithu), Virginia, USA
 


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