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Tuesday, November 20, 2007

[vinnomot] CNN Repoert:Gen. Moeen said death tool 5000-Red Crescent Chairman 10000

Bangladesh appeals for more aid
November 21st, 2007 posted by admin
PATHARGHATA, Bangladesh (CNN) — Reports emerged Wednesday of deaths from diarrhea in areas of Bangladesh ravaged by Cyclone Sidr, while international agencies considered the government's appeal for more aid to cope with the many thousands left homeless and hungry.
The cyclone zone has been struck with waterborne diseases and two children died of diarrhea on Tuesday in the hard-hit district of Patuakhali, Dhaka's Daily Star newspaper reported, quoting local health officials. Government officials were not immediately available to confirm the newspaper report.
 
Five days after Cyclone Sidr struck Bangladesh, an overwhelming stench filled the air Tuesday as rotting bodies and animal carcasses floated in pools of stagnant water around the coastal city of Patharghata.
 
Villagers complained about lack of government help and suggested the official death toll estimates were far lower than the reality they see, according to CNN's Cal Perry who arrived there Tuesday.
 
Despite grim assessments from relief workers arriving in previously unreached areas, military chief Gen. Moeen Ahmad estimated the number of people killed would reach about 5,000. The Bangladesh Red Crescent chairman has said the death toll could reach 10,000.
The last official death toll from Cyclone Sidr, one of the worst storms to strike the impoverished country in recent years, issued Monday was 3,114, but many areas of the South Asian nation remained unreached by relief workers.
 
Gen. Ahmad made his estimate Tuesday as he visited a food distribution site on a small island off southern Bangladesh that was swamped by the storm, destroying 95 percent of the 500 homes and the whole rice harvest, CNN's Dan Rivers reported. Watch as people are left to fend for themselves
 
Most of the residents of the tiny Island were evacuated to inland shelters ahead of the storm, keeping the number of deaths there to a minimum, Gen. Ahmad said.
The general said that while he was surprised at the level of destruction, there was plenty of warning and his country was well prepared for the storm.
 
But in Patharghata, residents told CNN they were not ready.
Perry spoke to a farmer who was in tears as he buried his 6-year-old daughter in his field.
Where is the government? the farmer asked.
 
In areas where the official government estimate listed just hundreds dead, villagers told Perry there were in fact thousands with many bodies still unrecovered.
The Category 4 cyclone raked Bangladesh's southwest coast on Thursday with maximum sustained winds of 240 kph (150 mph), destroying fishermen's hamlets and villages.
Thousands are still missing, while more than 4 million people have been displaced by the storm, according to Henrietta Fore, administrator of the U.S. Agency for International Development.
 
Sidr was reportedly the strongest storm to hit Bangladesh since 1991, according to the U.S. State Department.
 
Improved warning systems and shelters have kept the number of deaths far lower than the disastrous cyclones in the region of 1970 and 1991, when the tolls were in the hundreds of thousands.
 
Bangladesh is appealing for more international aid to help survivors, many of whom have yet to receive food, fresh water and shelter. At this time we will welcome support from the international community, the foreign ministry said.
 
A spokeswoman for the World Bank said Tuesday it will send Bangladesh $250 million in emergency aid.
 
The government said aid worth about $120 million had so far been pledged. The American Red Cross said it would provide $1.2 million (819,000) to help get clean water to the survivors and build emergency shelters.
 
Saudi Arabia has pledged $100 million to help Bangladesh recover. Britain has offered $15 million and the United States has pledged and initial contribution of $2.1 million in emergency relief supplies.
 
In addition, the U.S. Navy is sending two ships — USS Essex and USS Kearsarge — each carrying 20 helicopters for relief-and-rescue operations, according to the State Department.
The naval ships aren't scheduled to arrive off the coast of Bangladesh until this weekend or early next week, U.S. military officials said.
 
A U.S. military medical team in Bangladesh is distributing pharmaceuticals to those either injured by the storm or at risk of illness as a result of the devastation.
USAID — which prepared boats, water treatment systems and water ambulances ahead of the storm — is setting up mobile water purification plants across the region to prevent an outbreak of cholera, Fore said on CNN's American Morning. Clean water is an issue here for everyone, she said.
 
Bangladesh President Iajuddin Ahmed visited the devastated region Sunday, handing out some aid to the crowds of people before members of the international media. It was seen largely a token effort as hundreds were left empty-handed and furious. Security officials struggled to hold back the crowd. See dramatic photos of storm survivors
Sidr has already ruined Bangladesh's rice harvest, but the international community is rallying to make sure the country does not suffer as acutely as it has in the past. Nearly a million people died after massive floods wiped out the country's rice production in 1974.
Clearing could take weeks in the remote areas because it must be done by hand — there are no chainsaws and modern machinery to speed up the process.
Along the broken road that leads into Kolapara, the body of an 8-year-old girl called Rummie was carefully carried away for burial.
 
Overwhelmed with sadness, her mother Khadija was steadied by a relative.
I am feeling too much pain in my heart, she said. I have lost my daughter, so I am a victim of the cyclone as well.
found here.


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[ALOCHONA] Cyclone Sidr: Army and Red Crescent differ on death toll estimates

Bangladesh appeals for more aid
November 21st, 2007 posted by admin
PATHARGHATA, Bangladesh (CNN) — Reports emerged Wednesday of deaths from diarrhea in areas of Bangladesh ravaged by Cyclone Sidr, while international agencies considered the government's appeal for more aid to cope with the many thousands left homeless and hungry.
The cyclone zone has been struck with waterborne diseases and two children died of diarrhea on Tuesday in the hard-hit district of Patuakhali, Dhaka's Daily Star newspaper reported, quoting local health officials. Government officials were not immediately available to confirm the newspaper report.
 
Five days after Cyclone Sidr struck Bangladesh, an overwhelming stench filled the air Tuesday as rotting bodies and animal carcasses floated in pools of stagnant water around the coastal city of Patharghata.
 
Villagers complained about lack of government help and suggested the official death toll estimates were far lower than the reality they see, according to CNN's Cal Perry who arrived there Tuesday.
 
Despite grim assessments from relief workers arriving in previously unreached areas, military chief Gen. Moeen Ahmad estimated the number of people killed would reach about 5,000. The Bangladesh Red Crescent chairman has said the death toll could reach 10,000.
The last official death toll from Cyclone Sidr, one of the worst storms to strike the impoverished country in recent years, issued Monday was 3,114, but many areas of the South Asian nation remained unreached by relief workers.
 
Gen. Ahmad made his estimate Tuesday as he visited a food distribution site on a small island off southern Bangladesh that was swamped by the storm, destroying 95 percent of the 500 homes and the whole rice harvest, CNN's Dan Rivers reported. Watch as people are left to fend for themselves
 
Most of the residents of the tiny Island were evacuated to inland shelters ahead of the storm, keeping the number of deaths there to a minimum, Gen. Ahmad said.
The general said that while he was surprised at the level of destruction, there was plenty of warning and his country was well prepared for the storm.
 
But in Patharghata, residents told CNN they were not ready.
Perry spoke to a farmer who was in tears as he buried his 6-year-old daughter in his field.
Where is the government? the farmer asked.
 
In areas where the official government estimate listed just hundreds dead, villagers told Perry there were in fact thousands with many bodies still unrecovered.
The Category 4 cyclone raked Bangladesh's southwest coast on Thursday with maximum sustained winds of 240 kph (150 mph), destroying fishermen's hamlets and villages.
Thousands are still missing, while more than 4 million people have been displaced by the storm, according to Henrietta Fore, administrator of the U.S. Agency for International Development.
 
Sidr was reportedly the strongest storm to hit Bangladesh since 1991, according to the U.S. State Department.
 
Improved warning systems and shelters have kept the number of deaths far lower than the disastrous cyclones in the region of 1970 and 1991, when the tolls were in the hundreds of thousands.
 
Bangladesh is appealing for more international aid to help survivors, many of whom have yet to receive food, fresh water and shelter. At this time we will welcome support from the international community, the foreign ministry said.
 
A spokeswoman for the World Bank said Tuesday it will send Bangladesh $250 million in emergency aid.
 
The government said aid worth about $120 million had so far been pledged. The American Red Cross said it would provide $1.2 million (819,000) to help get clean water to the survivors and build emergency shelters.
 
Saudi Arabia has pledged $100 million to help Bangladesh recover. Britain has offered $15 million and the United States has pledged and initial contribution of $2.1 million in emergency relief supplies.
 
In addition, the U.S. Navy is sending two ships — USS Essex and USS Kearsarge — each carrying 20 helicopters for relief-and-rescue operations, according to the State Department.
The naval ships aren't scheduled to arrive off the coast of Bangladesh until this weekend or early next week, U.S. military officials said.
 
A U.S. military medical team in Bangladesh is distributing pharmaceuticals to those either injured by the storm or at risk of illness as a result of the devastation.
USAID — which prepared boats, water treatment systems and water ambulances ahead of the storm — is setting up mobile water purification plants across the region to prevent an outbreak of cholera, Fore said on CNN's American Morning. Clean water is an issue here for everyone, she said.
 
Bangladesh President Iajuddin Ahmed visited the devastated region Sunday, handing out some aid to the crowds of people before members of the international media. It was seen largely a token effort as hundreds were left empty-handed and furious. Security officials struggled to hold back the crowd. See dramatic photos of storm survivors
Sidr has already ruined Bangladesh's rice harvest, but the international community is rallying to make sure the country does not suffer as acutely as it has in the past. Nearly a million people died after massive floods wiped out the country's rice production in 1974.
Clearing could take weeks in the remote areas because it must be done by hand — there are no chainsaws and modern machinery to speed up the process.
Along the broken road that leads into Kolapara, the body of an 8-year-old girl called Rummie was carefully carried away for burial.
 
Overwhelmed with sadness, her mother Khadija was steadied by a relative.
I am feeling too much pain in my heart, she said. I have lost my daughter, so I am a victim of the cyclone as well.
found here.


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[ALOCHONA] Cyclone Sidr - Villagers dispute cyclone death toll (CNN)

PATHARGHATA, Bangladesh (CNN) -- Five days after
Cyclone Sidr struck Bangladesh, an overwhelming stench
filled the air Tuesday as rotting bodies and animal
carcasses floated in pools of stagnant water around
the coastal city of Patharghata.

Villagers complained about lack of government help and
suggested the official death toll estimates were far
lower than the reality they see, according to CNN's
Cal Perry who arrived there Tuesday.

Despite grim assessments from relief workers arriving
in previously unreached areas, military chief Gen.
Moeen Ahmad estimated the number of people killed
would reach about 5,000. The Bangladesh Red Crescent
chairman has said the death toll could reach 10,000.

The last official death toll from Cyclone Sidr, one of
the worst storms to strike the impoverished country in
recent years, issued Monday was 3,114, but many areas
of the South Asian nation remained unreached by relief
workers. . .

For details please visit the CNN link below:

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/11/20/bangladesh.cyclone/index.html

===============================================
Now, please view the following 5 CNN videos using the
link below:

1) Bangladesh island refuge: Aid begins to reach
Bangladesh cyclone survivors. CNN's Dan Rivers finds
scores of them huddled on an isolated island.

2) Grief and desperation (Viewer discretion advised):
Days after the storm, some Bangladeshi villages are
still isolated. CNN's Cal Perry reports.

3)Cyclone Sidr victims: With each day that passes, the
situation grows more dire for many in rural southern
Bangladesh. CNN's Cal Perry reports.

4)Rural devastation from cyclone: CNN's Dan Rivers is
in the small Bangladesh town of Patuakhali to reveal
the devastation of this rural area.

5) Victims - No cyclone warning: CNN's Dan Rivers
reports from a area of Bangladesh where people say the
weren't warned of cyclone Sidr.

Survivors grieve for cyclone dead -

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/11/20/bangladesh.cyclone/index.html#cnnSTCVideo


Please pray for them and help if you can.

-----------------
Kumar Islam
Chicago, Illinois
-----------------


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[vinnomot] Re: [notun_bangladesh] Re: Saudi gives $100m cyclone-hit Bangladesh

dear all ,
              usa and india should follow the saudi arabia.they afford much but spent very little for cyclone-hit Bangladesh,

ayubi_s786 <ayubi_s786@yahoo.com> wrote:
I am grateful to the Saudi Authorities for theie generosity for
their less fortunate brothers.
Salahuddin Ayubi
--- In notun_bangladesh@yahoogroups.com, Hasan Essa
<hasniessa@...>
wrote:
>
> Saudi gives $100 mln cyclone-hit Bangladesh
>
> RIYADH - Oil-rich Saudi Arabia said on Monday it is giving
Bangladesh 100 million dollars in emergency aid to help victims of a
devastating cyclone, which left thousands dead.
>
> Hasni Essa
> Peace & Pluralism
>



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[vinnomot] Re: [notun_bangladesh] Tungipara to Dhanmondi, simple & honest life style, Bangabandhu & Sheikh Hasina same goal and same fate - Monaem Sorkar - BK 18.11.07

dear all.
for kind information,
do u know 1)that this very simple and honest pm sk hasina wanted to grab "gono bhaban"
               
                 2)she also bought a costly bullet proof car
 
                 3) her sisters son read in harrow international .only very richest person can afford
                  4)rehana is now the woner and editor of once govt weekly Bichitra
 
so she n they are very very 'simple' n 'honest'
 
but we should not follow them

"Engr. Shafiq Bhuiyan" <srbanunz@gmail.com>
wrote:
 
Dear politically conscious, sensible & rational and enthusiastic readers (except old and new RAZAKAR & RAZAKAR minded people),
 
Tungipara to Dhanmondi, simple & honest life style
 
Bangabandhu & Sheikh Hasina both have same political goal and same fate
 
Some unknown facts -
 
For more detail please read the following article written by Mr. Monaem Sorkar & published in 18th November 2007 issue of the Bhorer Kagoj:
 
 
 
 
"Sustha thakon, nirapade thakon ebong valo thakon"
 
Shuvechhante,
 
 
Shafiqur Rahman Bhuiyan (ANU)
NEW ZEALAND.
 
N.B.: If any one is offended by content of this e-mail, please ignore & delete this e-mail. I will also request you to inform me - to delete your name from my contact list.


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[vinnomot] spend onlyTK 2 for SIDR victim, donate 15 tk for them

 Dear Bangladeshi ,
 
 By spending two tkonly  , you can donate 15 tk  for the victims of  sidr.
 
 To know how visit http://www.somewhereinblog.net


Is this CTG is better than Ershad  in case of political party reform and anti corruption drive ?
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sobhan Allah-  Only Allah flawless 
           Alhamdulillah - All praise to be of Allah 
                   Allah hu Akbar - Allah, the Greatest
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Would Be Mahathir of BD
 


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[vinnomot] Think of Tube Well while you raising fund for SIDR as water is more important than food

Dear Bangladeshi,
 
In this crisis moment of Bangladeshi we all are trying  our level best to help the victims of sidr.
 
 we will  donate money, dry food, cloths etc.
 
But another important thing we should consider  is water. In many areas there is no safe water supply. 
 
 And  water supply can not  be met from outside. So  setting tube well for safe water supply should  be in priority list.
 
 
 Because  water is even more important  than food.  People need safe water  supply every day . they can even survive  if get food every two days.
 
 
 But if become sick, get diarrhea, then safe water is needed even  to treat it. So water supply should be  in the top of priority list.
 
 I hope million of dollars will come from expatriate Bangladeshi, particularly from USA.
 
 
 Many single organization will  raise fund of  more than 100,000 dollars.  With these 100,000 dollars ,  at least 1000 tube wells can be set. And this can change the situation  dramatically .
 
 At least one organization should  specify their donation  for tube well.
 
 And Bangladesh army  is the best  organization to set these tub wells.
 
 
 So think of tube well setting when you are raising fund for  SIDR victim and make  necessary  arrangement for its immediate set up.
 
 if one tube well  can be set up in every word, then it will  save the whole  village  in this crisis moment. tube wells can be set up close to the mosque, temple or school etc.
 
 
 
A Microbilogist
 


Is this CTG is better than Ershad  in case of political party reform and anti corruption drive ?
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sobhan Allah-  Only Allah flawless 
           Alhamdulillah - All praise to be of Allah 
                   Allah hu Akbar - Allah, the Greatest
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Would Be Mahathir of BD
 


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[ALOCHONA] Cyclone sidr: Please consider tubewells in relief efforts

Dear Bangladeshi,
 
In this crisis moment of Bangladeshi we all are trying  our level best to help the victims of sidr.
 
 we will  donate money, dry food, cloths etc.
 
But another important thing we should consider  is water. In many areas there is no safe water supply. 
 
 And  water supply can not  be met from outside. So  setting tube well for safe water supply should  be in priority list.
 
 
 Because  water is even more important  than food.  People need safe water  supply every day . they can even survive  if get food every two days.
 
 
 But if become sick, get diarrhea, then safe water is needed even  to treat it. So water supply should be  in the top of priority list.
 
 I hope million of dollars will come from expatriate Bangladeshi, particularly from USA.
 
 
 Many single organization will  raise fund of  more than 100,000 dollars.  With these 100,000 dollars ,  at least 1000 tube wells can be set. And this can change the situation  dramatically .
 
 At least one organization should  specify their donation  for tube well.
 
 And Bangladesh army  is the best  organization to set these tub wells.
 
 
 So think of tube well setting when you are raising fund for  SIDR victim and make  necessary  arrangement for its immediate set up.
 
 if one tube well  can be set up in every word, then it will  save the whole  village  in this crisis moment. tube wells can be set up close to the mosque, temple or school etc.
 
 
 
A Microbilogist
 


Is this CTG is better than Ershad  in case of political party reform and anti corruption drive ?
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sobhan Allah-  Only Allah flawless 
           Alhamdulillah - All praise to be of Allah 
                   Allah hu Akbar - Allah, the Greatest
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Would Be Mahathir of BD
 


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[ALOCHONA] Cyclone Sidr: Appeal from BAARNY

 
  BAARNY             
                                     23-63 Steinway Street, Astoria, NY 11105                      
BANGLADESH AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR REHABILITATION IN NEW YORK (BAARNY), INC.                      
A Not- For- Profit Organization Dedicated to Education, Development, Health & Rehabilitation.
                   Tel: (718) 278-8181, Fax: (718) 278-7846; E-mail: baarnyinc@yahoo.com.
 
PLEASE SEE THE ATTACHED FLYER FOR DONATION
 
 PLEASE HELP THE HURRICANE VICTIMS OF BANGLADESH
 
HURRICANE SIDR DEVASTATED BANGLADESH ON NOVEMBER 15, 2007
 
ALMOST ONE-THIRD OF BANGLADESH WAS BLOWN AWAY
 
ALMOST 40 MILLION PEOPLE  IN 14 DISTRICTS ARE SERIOUSLY AFFECTED
 
MORE THAN 20,000 PEOPLE DIED
 
MORE THAN 100,000 PEOPLE WERE WASHED AWAY INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL
 
ABOUT QUARTER OF A MILLION PEOPLE WERE INJURED
 
ALMOST ONE MILLION HOUSES WERE GROUNDED INTO PIECES
 
CROPS OF ABOUT FIVE MILLION ACRES WERE DESTROYED
 
ABOUT ONE MILLION LIVESTOCKS/CATTLES DIED
 
MILLIONS AND MILLIONS OF PEOPLE WERE LEFT WITH NOTHING
 
MILLIONS ARE LIVING UNDER OPEN SKY
 
THOUSANDS OF REMOTE & ISOLATED VILLAGES ARE NOT REACHED YET
 
MILLIONS ARE NOT YET COUNTED.
 
MILLIONS OF TREES WERE UPROOTED
 
ALMOST ALL INFRASTRUCTURES WERE DESTROYED
   
BAARNY has created a "Bangladesh Hurricane Victim Fund" to help the Hurricane victims of Bangladesh. BAARNY is a Not-For-Profit Federally Tax-Exempt organization in the USA and has been working in the field of social/human/rehabilitation  services in contract with the Departments of Education, Health and Mental Hygiene of the Governments of New York State and New York City since 1998.
 
              BAARNY WILL MATCH YOUR FUND BY 25%.
 
           In order to make your donations easy, an account has been created with Pay Pal. Please go to www.baarnyinc.com and click on "Pay Pal" logo and fill up the forms with your Credit/Debit Card or Bank Account information. You can call at (718) 278-8181 with your credit/debit card. You can also mail your Check or Money Order to BAARNY at 23-63 Steinway Street, Astoria, NY 11105 or deposit your Money Order or Check into BAARNY A/C # 8310376306 of Astoria Federal Savings Bank (Route # 221472815).    
 
   Your donations will be sent to the Relief Fund of the Care Taker Government
 
                                        For more information, please contact:
                           Dr. Mohsin Ali, Executive Director, BAARNY, Inc
                                  23-63 Steinway Street, Astoria, NY 11105
                Tel: (718) 278-8181; Fax: (718) 278-7846; Cell: (631) 682-6612;
                                         E-mail: baarnyinc@yahoo.com.
 YOUR DONATIONS ARE TAX EXEMPT


Thanks
Mohsin ALi __._,_.___

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[vinnomot] FW: Bangladesh




Forwarded Message Attachment--
Date: Mon, 19 Nov 2007 11:10:23 -0500
From: smassad@mass.edu
Subject: On Bangladesh
To: faculty@mass.edu
 


Please announce this in classes and please join us if you can.  This is our last big event of the semester.  Thanks very much.

Susan Massad, PhD

_______________________

What's happening in…

Bangladesh?

 

Join Framingham State College's own Dr. Abdul Momen as he discusses the issues and problems currently facing that nation.

 

 

Wednesday, November 28th at 6PM

Hemenway Hall 212

 

___________________

Sponsored by the Human Rights Action Committee (HRAC)

 



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[vinnomot] Musharraf's Endgame?

SAN-Feature Service
SOUTH ASIAN NEWS-FEATURE SERVICE
November 21, 2007
 
Musharraf's Endgame?
By Irfan Husain
 
As Pakistan's political crisis rumbles on, it is instructive to examine the motives and options of the three major actors whose actions are shaping events today.
 
SAN-Feature Service : As Pakistan's political crisis rumbles on, it is instructive to examine the motives and options of the three major actors whose actions are shaping events today. Bush, Musharraf and Benazir Bhutto all are engaged in a series of moves that will influence the future of this turbulent country and the volatile region in which it is situated.
 
Starting with George W. Bush—whatever his many faults, nobody has ever accused him of disloyalty. If anything, the U.S president has a tendency to stand by his friends and colleagues long after their usefulness has ended. And ever since Musharraf's famous post-9/11 U-turn, he has come to be regarded as 'America's good friend and steadfast ally.'
{mosimage}
 
Thus, despite calls from across the American political spectrum to dump the Pakistani strongman, Bush has responded with little more than a mild rap on the knuckles. And when Musharraf held out the sop of elections in early January, Bush grasped this announcement with relief, forgetting that his favourite Pakistani had given no date for the lifting of the emergency, or the release of the thousands of political opponents scooped up over the last fortnight.
 
The likely scenario, as seen from Washington, is an ongoing political crisis that might well paralyse Pakistani efforts to control the tribal areas on the Afghan border. This will lead to more cross-border attacks on NATO and U.S. forces in Afghanistan, causing a higher casualty rate.
 
However, with a Pakistani nuclear arsenal to worry about, the Pentagon and the neocons are unlikely to fret too much about the loss of civil liberties. For them, the first priority is to ensure that the Pakistan army remains the custodian of nuclear technology and materials. And even though elections are due next year, presidential hopefuls cannot afford to seem weak, and so will not increase the pressure on Bush to rein in his buddy in Islamabad.
 
But this scenario could well change if Musharraf is unable to convince the opposition parties to accept his timetable and his approach to the elections. Then, protests would continue. Already, many parties have threatened to boycott the elections in case the state of emergency is not lifted. Should this happen, and the election results are rejected by the opposition and the people, Bush would have to do more than issue such mild admonitions.
 
However, the options before him are limited. Currently, most of the $10 billion in American aid that has gone to Pakistan since 9/11 has vanished into the military's coffers. If this assistance is cut off, Musharraf could retaliate by pulling out the 100,000 soldiers on the Afghan border. And if the Taliban resistance is fierce now, it would only escalate in future. So loyalty apart, Bush has few good options in Pakistan.
 
Musharraf's gamble
 
Musharraf, who has painted himself into a corner, is desperately seeking a way out. His seemingly terminal slide began last March when he tried to sack the stubborn and independent Supreme Court chief justice, Iftikhar Chaudhry. Lawyers and the media spearheaded a mass movement to get him reinstated, and when they succeeded, Musharraf's unpopularity and vulnerability became evident for the first time in his eight-year rule.
 
With his re-election challenged in the Supreme Court, there was real apprehension that the 11-member bench would rule him ineligible to contest due to his position as army chief. To pre-empt such a devastating judgment, Musharraf imposed a state of emergency that curbed the media, and judges were directed to take a fresh oath under a Provisional Constitutional Order. Those like Iftikhar Chaudhry who refused were removed from the bench; several of them are under house arrest. Through this expedient, Musharraf has now got a higher judiciary stacked with yes-men, but lawyers and political opponents have vowed that they will not allow this ploy to succeed.
 
Thus, Pakistan's political crisis will rumble on, causing massive economic dislocation. Already, the Karachi stock exchange has seen the flight of a quarter billion dollars of foreign equity; Standard and Poor, as well as Moody's, have downgraded Pakistan's credit rating; and export orders are being cancelled by overseas buyers who fear that the ongoing turmoil will cause delays. The business community, thus far Musharraf's biggest supporter, is now being forced to re-assess their position.
 
The Pakistani general, like Bush, has few good options. By cracking down brutally on centrist, secular parties as well as lawyers and the media, he has alienated a large slice of the educated, urban elites. These are the very people he needs to have on his side if he is to make any headway against Islamic extremists.
 
For a general, Musharraf has opened too many fronts. He is already under Western pressure to restore democracy, while at the same time he is expected to do more in the fight against Al-Qaeda and the Taliban. Meanwhile, Pakistani militants are on the march in Swat, Pakistan's most scenic valley. Here, they have captured several towns without a fight. Although Musharraf has promised an army operation to fight them, he needs to shore up his political flanks if he is to succeed.
 
In these troubled times, it is the army that holds the key to Musharraf's political future. He has doggedly hung on to his uniform, despite domestic and international pressure to remove it. But at the end of the day, it is his fellow generals who will decide when they have had enough of being dragged into Musharraf's misadventures.
 
Bhutto's moves
 
Re-entering the cauldron of Pakistani politics after eight years of self-exile to escape corruption charges has been a steep learning curve for Benazir Bhutto, leader of the Pakistan People's Party. In the last year or so, she had conducted a series of secret negotiations with Musharraf's envoys. These culminated in two one-on-one meetings with the Pakistani president. According to widespread media speculation, these talks were aimed at the withdrawal of charges against her, enabling her to return.
 
Her supporters were visibly embarrassed when she did not direct the PPP to join the lawyers' movement to restore the chief justice. So it came as no surprise when Musharraf proclaimed the National Reconciliation Ordinance that gave blanket amnesty to all politicians and bureaucrats against whom charges had been framed between 1988 and 1999. Although the NRO let hundreds off the hook, it was widely seen as Bhutto-specific. As a result, she lost much support among the intelligentsia.
 
However, on her return on 18 October, the assassination attempt that took 140 lives in Karachi won her much public sympathy. And as she realised the extent of Musharraf's unpopularity, she has hardened her stance, demanding the restoration of democracy, the re-instatement of the judges who refused to take an oath under the PCO, and the release of the thousands of political prisoners jailed recently.
 
Although the government has refused to allow her to hold rallies, citing security reasons, her stock has risen as she has allied herself firmly with the snowballing anti-Musharraf movement. There is little talk in the press about the infamous 'deal' between her and Musharraf. Nevertheless, there is a lurking suspicion that in case she is made an offer she can't refuse, she will abandon the pro-democracy movement and accept the prime ministership.
 
But she is too canny a politician to fall for any enticements Musharraf may offer at this point in the endgame that is being played out now. She realises that such a cynical ploy would lose her votes. So if reasonably fair elections are possible under the present circumstances, her PPP is poised to win the biggest number of seats in Parliament. Whatever happens, the next few months promise to be turbulent ones for Pakistan.—SAN-Feature Service Courtesy : Dawn newspaper


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