Hillary was a better choice, Obama will lose
Now that the fight for Democratic Party Nomination is over and Obama has become the putative candidate of the Party, I would like to offer my two cents about the general election. So far American people have seen the rise of Barak Hossain Obama and from now they will his fall. Had Hillary run her campaign in early days, the way she finished it-- the storyline today would have been different. But fact is the fact. Hillary lost, Obama won the primary. But Hillary was a better choice by miles.
Hillary often made a point that she won popular votes and most big states (the BLUE sates) that generally vote democratic and account for a winning combination in any democratic Electoral College map. On the contrary Obama won most of the RED States that a reliably republican and chances for those to fall in Democratic column come November is at best a wishful thinking. Did you notice that Obama did well in South? Who helped him win? The South. And now the South will help him sink. Obama will not win in the south, period. All the talk about his 50 states strategy is nonsense. Earlier, I predicted that McCain will be elected in the general election and I have no doubt now about his chances.
AP said: 'Obama has done poorly with working-class whites and Hispanics, getting only about one in three of each group's votes overall. He also must win over white Democratic women who have remained fiercely loyal to Clinton, especially those who are middle-aged and over. That will be a delicate task for Obama'. Will he be able to overcome? No. Their dislike for Obama is just too great. Just remember the 30% thumping of Obama in Kentucky and West Virginia-- the two "bluish" states democrats always count on winning and often they do win.
Obama has come as a messenger of change, but change in what direction? He hasn't spelled his change medicine. Remember Kerry in 2004 saying American policies must "pass the global test"? Obama's rhetoric's are increasingly mirroring that position. Also his argument that because of American action in Iraq, the world is more dangerous and his inclination to sit with the rogue leaders unconditionally validates the America's long standing disdain for liberals. It is also misconstrued sometimes as "Blame America First". Americans never elect a weak leader in time of great perils. McCain camp has already started hitting the point home that Obama is running for Jimmy Carter's 2nd term. And it is not good for Obama.
Obama presents himself as a bipartisan leader, but his record points to otherwise. He has the most liberal and party-line voting record (94%) in the Senate, and has nothing to show for his supposed bipartisanship against McCain's well known maverick image who transcends political divides. AP said: 'Before he can win the White House, he must cope with a daunting finding: One in seven white voters of his own party said in exit polls that race was important in choosing their candidate. Of that group, not only did two-thirds voted for Clinton, but nearly six in 10 said they would rather vote for McCain in November or stay home than support Obama'.
GOP's most conservative base never did support McCain; can Obama bring them in his favor? Not a chance. They will fall in line with the GOP by default. People noticed that when Republican primaries were lingering, then Bush came forward and had asked the conservatives to support McCain, they did and John McCain became GOP nominee. In Nov. also Republican will pursue them to vote against Obama and they will. Obama now cries for Israel, will they believe him? No. His shifting positions on the status of Jerusalem are worrisome for Jews. And don't forget about the Lieberman factor.
Obama disowned his pastor. It was a right decision and it took Obama only 20 years sitting in the pews and listening to his anti-American tirades (sermons) to understand. People are asking, how he will be able to take right decision in four years?
During stretching primaries democrats argued that, elections were divisive! Was it? One gentleman questioned then Middle East or Saudi Arabia is a great place where there is no election! A born Muslim Obama is a converted Christian who understands how to play the election game and indeed he did well in primaries. So far it was quarter finals, now the main game, semi-final & final.
Obama's running mate will be surely a white to overcome those problems, will it be Hillary? I don't think so. Will it be women? Who knows? Surely, economy will be a major issue, but it will be hard to convince people that Obama will bring a solution. Iraq war may favor Obama a bit, but without any military experience McCain will bold him out clean.
Moreover, Democratic Party is still divided and those who were loyal to Hillary may play a vital role if the party rank & file is not united sooner. Earlier I had written that, democrats who are not comfortable voting for Obama will have no problem voting for McCain, in coming days, guess, and those numbers will be high. Blacks backed Obama overwhelmingly against Clinton, giving him nearly nine in 10 of their votes. This may encourage others to vote otherwise. For the last six months it was "all Obama all the time" in the media. Also if you look at the stories run or written about him in media it is Obama 4:1 Vs. McCain. Besides, the prevailing political climate is such that a generic democrat runs 20+ points ahead of a generic Republican. But when it comes to Obama v. McCain the margin is merely 3-6%. Given the one sided coverage Obama enjoyed so far, if he had not built a 20% lead over McCain by now, he is not likely to do it as there will be more parity in the coverage as general election picks up steam? America will chose a proven "maverick" over a "liberal" in a heartbeat.
Our Bangladeshi friends are mainly democrats and will support Obama. Some are encouraged because he has a Muslim connection. Soon everybody will be discouraged with Obama's next steps. Michigan's Muslims made the same mistake voting against Gore because he had chosen Liberman, a Jew as his vice president. Obama is head over heels in his support for Israel. He chose Christianity over his paternal faith Islam, and shot down the notion that he ever was a Muslim. But his Muslim past will haunt him. Although Muslims are not a factor in US elections, this time around Obama's Muslim connection will be factor, if not openly, surely silently. Have no doubt about it.
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MM Project : Grand assembly of local freedom fighters at Raumari
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