Since I have not been too far wrong in my predictions so far (although on occasion I have attempted to reverse the outcomes) I think I can make some observations on The India Express report. I doubt that
It is entirely likely that this AL administration has accumulated a number of enemies especially due to its likely involvement in the BDR mutiny as hinted in the New Age editorial today (April 18, 2009),
"Disturbingly still, there is also growing concern, especially among army officers and BDR jawans who were not involved with the BDR tragedy, that a plot may be on to derail the investigations and tamper with the findings of the ongoing inquests. Apprehension is also there that the findings of the investigations might not be properly reflected in the reports of the probe committees due in less than a month. Should such apprehension be even perceived to have come true, the consequence could be dangerous for our nation state."
This is of course one of the factors for the ill will felt against this government with others including the power crisis, political repression, War crimes trials and corruption. The threat to this government clearly does not come from an amorphous group of Islamist terrorists whose attempts to perpetrate violent acts have been largely thwarted during the last 4 years.
The significant aspect of the Express report is the last paragraph which appears to suggest that a successful attempt on Hasina's life or a takeover of power would necessarily be perpetrated by Islamist terrorists which would be considered in New Delhi as a threat to Indian and regional security and would justify intervention. One would have to read carefully between the lines to come to this conclusion but anyone who has studied wider Indian strategic objectives would understand the implications of this message. The most important point is that the Indian threat is at this point an empty one hence the very public visit of the Indian Foreign Secretary to preempt any undermining of this government while
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