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Saturday, June 4, 2011

[ALOCHONA] Uncertainty looming large



------- Forwarded message ----------

From: Zoglul Husain <zoglul@hotmail.co.uk>
Date: Sun, Jun 5, 2011 at 5:01 AM
Subject: Uncertainty looming large
To:  Isha Khan <bdmailer@gmail.com>

Uncertainty Looming Large
By Zoglul Husain 
  
London 4 June 2011. With a government totally isolated from the people, a political uncertainty is now looming large in Bangladesh with unpredictable consequences - a situation, which has inevitably and predictably followed from the dire and disastrous conspiracy of the so-called 1/11 2007, an India-US (Bush) conspiracy with internal collaboration, and supported then by the US allies, including their rubber stamp, the UN. At present, however, apart from India, other foreign powers seem to be disassociating from the conspiracy as well as the Hasina government, which also transpires from the recent BNP claim that this government has no external friends except for India, and the claim may not be unfounded.   
 
The last four years, since the 1/11 2007 conspiracy, have been nothing short of a hell, with the law and order now completely broken down and corruption utterly unbridled. Killings (judicial, extra-judicial, political and criminal), terror, grabbing, looting, severe oppression and brutal repression have become the order of the day. The ruling party, declaredly (by Ashraf, Sajeda, et al) the de facto BKSAL, backed by Delhi, have been allegedly commanding and controlling the judiciary, the executive, the parliament, the ACC, the EC and all the the other organs of the state, with the judiciary now being claimed to be the most corrupt of all, and so on and so forth. Politically, it is now a rough and rugged desert, where the people must look for an oasis and perhaps a new horizon.  
 
From the beginning of 1/11 2007, there were people, who asserted that the aims of the conspiracy of 1/11 2007 were (i) to snatch our independence and sovereignty, (ii) to plunder our natural resources and (iii) to trample our national interest. A minus-two formula was devised by the conspirators to achieve their targets. Especially, India wanted a subservient Bangladesh, which it could plunder, control militarily and use its territory for military and commercial purposes with transit, corridor and connectivity to be used at its will, whenever and wherever, and finally they wanted to annex Bangladesh at an opportune moment of time or reduce it to the status of occupied Kashmir, Sikkim, Bhutan or Seven Sisters States.
 
It suited the India-US Neocons-Israel evil axis on its strategic aims of domination and plunder of the world. But their minus-two formula failed to materialize, apparently because of Khaleda's determination not to leave the country, even after the brutal tortures of her two sons, and more basically because of the people's quiet but powerful resistance to the two-year covert military rule of Moeen U. It was a diabolic tyrannical regime, during the tenure of which, hundreds of thousands of people were interned with alleged torture and extortions of money by Moeen U's operatives. The BNP was dealt a hammer blow, both externally and internally, the BAL was treated likewise, but only partially, and in the process, the political life of the country was made virtually paralysed through army actions.
 
The general public had to bear the brunt too, with hundreds of thousands of slum dwellers, hawkers, small shop owners of many towns and rural markets etc., oppressed and evicted without any alternative dwelling places or means of subsistence. When oppression and brutality were being perpetrated on such a grand scale, most of the NGOs of Bangladesh, Civil Society members, Human Rights workers, National and International Agencies for poverty alleviation and proponents of good governance, etc. kept mum!! With Bush's declaration of "You're either with us or against us" hanging over head internationally, most of these organisations obviously decided to be with Bush. It is the people who silently and valiantly struggled for the downtrodden humanity.
 
After failing in their minus-two scheme, the conspirators, struck a deal with Hasina as a second choice, and they engineered a rigged election on 29 December 2008, under military deployment, with pre-determined results mainly through ballot box stuffing. The BNP alleged that there were not many voters after mid-day, yet a very high turn out was recorded, while India-US (Bush) and their allies claimed that a free and fair election was held, and that this election was the best so far, and also that democracy was restored, etc. etc.! By comparison, perhaps according to them, even if there could be some doubts about the WMD, this purer-than-pure election had none of it, and this was the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth!!    
 
The country, however, was destined to see worse days. Moeen U's most high handed abuses of law and order and the abuses of Human Rights and Democratic Rights have been surpassed by the incumbent Hasina government, whose only priority seems to be to facilitate Indian interests and Indian hegemony in Bangladesh. Hasina's MoU's with India are nothing but sell out of national interests and surrender of sovereignty. This is on top of India's snatching of river water and building of barrages and structures on 54 rivers since 1974 resulting in desertification of Bangladesh, brutal border killings of poor villagers for more than a decade, unequal business all through, achieving transit-corridor against people's wishes and against the country's security, ruthless smuggling, internal sabotage, etc. etc.
 
But resistance has now been growing. Many people are now giving vent to their unhappiness, disquiet and anger. The patriots seem to be organising the people for resistance.   
 
The opposition have started calling for general strikes and for a mass uprising to bring the government down, as they have no trust in the government about holding a free and fair election, on top of the government's day to day repressions. There has developed a total breach of trust between the government and the opposition. Moeen U and Hasina have completely destroyed the trust of BNP and their allies, whatever was there left of it in the past. Now, the opposition is shaping up an one point agenda: Hasina must go and sooner the better for the country, as according to them, the government has failed in all respects. There are apprehensions of confrontation and clash. There are fears of vicious conspiracies, sabotage and even army action with outside inspiration and involvement.
 
On the other hand, India is also hell bent on not to let Bangladesh off its radar. Thus the situation has become grim and more uncertain than it would be in the normal circumstances. India's powerful international campaign about Bangladesh is that if the Awami League is not in power, then Bangladesh would become a taliban country with terrorism developing with risks for the whole world. Yet many believe that JMB in Bangladesh was created by India and HuJI-B by Israel to perform limited terrorist operations in order to impart a terrorist image on Bangladesh, so that India-Israel-US Neocons can achieve their vicious objectives in Bangladesh with international support. 1/11 2007 was such an objective.
 
May be these are the reasons why people are talking of the mass uprising of 1969 or the army-people uprising of 7 November 1975 or the anti-Ershad uprising of 1990, in the normal circumstances, but if India gets involved, by interference or meddling, then of another 1971. These are really uncertain times. 
 
Many of the 2008 election allies of the government seem to have become uncertain of the government's ability to remain in power much longer, in spite of the campaign that the government would complete the term. Many of them have already made an assessment that the government has become totally isolated from the public. As the plunge in support for the government hits rock-bottom level, there are many in the ruling alliance, who have been expressing deep concern and fear for uncertain times, while some of them have even been warning, in quite unambiguous terms, of possible nerve-chilling situations in the near future. Though they neither have clarified what the fear is, nor is it clear if they are preparing to desert a sinking ship. The question bubbling up is: Is the government tottering?
 
A 5-party left-alliance within the ruling 14-party alliance, a component of the so-called great alliance, in a meeting in Rajshahi on 16 May 2011, bitterly criticised the govt for its all-round failure, and they refused to share any responsibility for it, accusing BAL of its go-it-alone policies on running the affairs (Ref: Amar Desh report, 17 May 2011, http://www.amardeshonline.com/pages/details/2011/05/17/81964). They severely criticised the break-down of law and order, the crises of electricity, gas and water, the sky-rocketing price hikes of daily necessities, the failure to stop the unbridled corruption, looting and grabbing, the share market crisis, etc., and said that the lives of the general public have become unbearable. The 5-parties are: the Workers' Party, JSD, NAP, Shamyabadi Dal and Gonotantri Party, and it is obvious that the parties are quite jittery. 
 
Another ally of the govt, Kazi Zafar Ahmed, a former Prime Minister in President Ershad's govt and presently Senior Presidium Member of JP (Ershad), recently said that he was seeing ominous clouds in the political sky. He said, he didn't know whether it is a tsunami, a tornado or a cyclone, but he thinks some thing serious is going to happen. (Ref: Amar Desh report 21 April 2011: http://www.amardeshonline.com/pages/details/2011/04/21/77857).
 
Similarly, another close ally, JP (Manju) leader, Anwar Hossain Manju, a former minister in Ershad govt and in Hasina's first term govt, said recently, if an election were held tomorrow, then BAL would suffer a miserable defeat, but he warned, it is doubtful if election would be held as anarchy was rising. He said, he has some nerve-chilling information, which, if divulged, would make the sky about to fall. He said there are deliberate efforts to push the country to a failed state, according to a plan, and there could be attempts to snatch our independence!
(Ref: Anwar Hossain Manju's interview in the Bangladesh Pratidin 12 May 2011: http://www.bd-pratidin.com/?view=details&type=gold&data=Leather&pub_no=374&cat_id=1&menu_id=1&news_type_id=1&index=1) 
  
Thus, according to the above, the government has failed miserably within two and a quarter years, and these allies have asserted that sinister clouds are ominously looming large in the political sky of Bangladesh. 
 
A barrage of criticism against the govt came from former President and presently Bikalpa Dhara President Professor Badruddoza Chowdhury, Krishak Sramik Janata League President Abdul Kader Siddiqui, Progressive Democratic Party Chairman Dr. Ferdous Ahmed Quoreshi, Forward Party President Mostafa Amin, Gonoforum Presidium Member Commander Abdur Rauf, etc. in their joint meeting on 13 May 2011, when they warned of possible unexpected political developments and declared their intent to develop movement against the govt (Ref: Amar Desh report 14 May 2011:
 
Without making any further lists, it will suffice to say that the government is now isolated from the public and from their 2008 electoral allies and it is now wholly dependent on Delhi for its life support. Delhi has assured it of managing its survival support from the US and their allies. As Obama administration has not made any drastic changes to the policies of the immediate past, India'a assurance seems to be still working to a point. But it seems unlikely that if there is an uprising against the government, the US would go out of the way to defend it. In that case India's choices to defend it would also be limited, whatever sinister their motives may be.
 
The patriots in these uncertain times have the most important role to play: to safeguard the independence and sovereignty of the country and then develop it by defending Human Rights and Democratic Rights. For us, the patriots, there is a stark choice: do we want to remain an independent and sovereign country or we accept subjugation and become a state like the present Kashmir, Sikkim, Bhutan or Seven Sisters States. It is really no choice. We must unite, organise and mobilise all the patriots irrespective of political spectrum and irrespective of occupations, services and professions - all having overt or covert roles to play. If we fail to do that, then our independence would turn into a nightmare of subservience. It is, therefore, a do or die situation. We must think, we must act, we must break the grip of Indian hegemonism. We are determined and we certainly will win in the end.
 
Writer: Zoglul Husain
Email: zoglul@hotmail.co.uk 



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