To: Diagnose@yahoogroups.com
From: bolonhome@hotmail.com
Date: Tue, 1 May 2012 23:49:45 +0000
Subject: [Diagnose] Re: Bangladesh can stop the menace of Load shading and power shortrage!!!!
From: bolonhome@hotmail.com
Date: Tue, 1 May 2012 23:49:45 +0000
Subject: [Diagnose] Re: Bangladesh can stop the menace of Load shading and power shortrage!!!!
The Bangladesh government (GOB) of Sheikh Hasina is determined to eliminate acute energy crisis in Bangladesh that has developed, you will agree with me, owing to neglect of priority focus and more importantly, knowledge-gap in this area for years. Although in your home or office, if you push the switch, you get the electricity right-away but to generate electricity, it takes long time, at least 3/4 years. Government is trying varieties of ways to help ease the situation; some short term arrangement like `rental units', few medium term and few long term projects. It started the process of generating additional electricity and also additional gas exploration that its predecessors hardly did.
Secondly, it is interesting to note that historically the developed countries are very reluctant to advance grant or credit to `infrastructure projects' in less developed countries. You may know that they prefer to advance grants to projects that relate to human rights, democracy, gender empowerment, to NGOs and the like. In the areas of infrastructure development or agricultural growth that benefits poorer countries substantially, developed countries are shy in advancing credit and international financial agencies like World Bank and IMF, for example, always place roadblocks to provide subsidy to agricultural inputs, energy, seeds, etc although, USA and France pay billions of dollars as subsidy for their agricultural sector. This is the reality and such double standard is acceptable.
Dr. Hasan Chowdhury, like you, we all want to resolve the energy crisis issue in Bangladesh. However, the issue that Dr. Chowdhury raised has some gaps in his information on Sunetra project.
Sunetra is not a gas field at all since no field can be identified before exploration. The GOB has initiated the drilling activity there and hopefully the first exploration well will be done in a couple of months' time with good results. Let us hope for the best. Alongside, the GOB has taken other measures to augment gas supply-- only days back it has signed contract with Gazprom for drilling of 10 wells.
Dr. Chowdhury, you may know that many structures such as Sunetra can turn out to be dry.
In fact, Dr Hasan Chowdhury seems not to be informed well. All the rental plants of Bangladesh have been awarded with transparency. Even a vocal institution like the World Bank applauded GOB's imitative as timely and unavoidable and did not raise any issue. Unfortunately, at times, some quarters in the media, for one reason or another do not publish the whole truth and therefore, it's no wonder that Dr Chowdhury seems to have succumbed to the media campaign of BNP. All that you see in the media nowadays, unfortunately, is not always true. Dr. Hasan Chowdhury knows very well that if you listen to Rausch Limbo in USA, you may not get correct picture of USA.
It is a fact that the GOB could not be able to run all power plants to their full capacity yet for many reasons among which price is factor (in that case much of the scarcity would have disappeared). Since the selling price of power is much below the price to produce-- the gap made wider by the rise in the fuel price in international market. Furnace oil, which is the fuel for most of these plants, has risen from Taka 26 to Taka 60 in last 3 years. Can GOB subsidize such huge shortfall?
However, the GOB is trying to find ways to cover the gap next fiscal year through various measures. If it succeeds, then it will have at least the capacity to generate power to put much of the load shedding behind.
I thought of sharing some of the relevant facts. Thank you,
--- In Diagnose@yahoogroups.com, Choudhury Hasan <ruptan@...> wrote:
>
> If the news is right and the policy is in place, Bangladesh can have
> electricity load shading and power shortage stopped within a year. Sunetra
> Project has the single most important place in the mitigation of load
> shading of Bangladesh besides other state initiatives.
>
>
>
> http://energybangla.com/2012/02/06/263.html
>
>
>
>
>
> *"Last year, Bangladesh Petroleum Exploration Company (Bapex) had placed a
> Tk 2.79 billion development project proposal under the fund to determine
> the potential gas structure of Sunetra in Sunamganj and Netrakona districts.
> The field was estimated to have a reserve of over 2.5 trillion cubic feet
> (TCF) of gas, which is enough to meet existing demand for about three years
> or **the present supply shortage of 500 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd)
> for about 15 years**.
> The project will be implemented in two phases. Exploration will be
> completed in the first phase from December 2011 to June this year while
> development activities in the second phase from July 2012 to June 2014.
> The energy ministry recently asked Bapex to prepare a separate fiscal
> year-based development project proposal, said the ministry source.
> Bapex discovered Sunetra reserve last year through a seismic survey on a
> 260-square-kilometre area.
> Bapex expects to start an exploratory well at Sunetra in March."*
>
> * *
> Now all we need is a determination and hard work to move this project to
> implementation fast. If the AL government wishes they can fast track this,
> mobilize all the resources and finish within a year. This will undoubtedly
> help the country and its future chance of coming back to power (not sure as
> they are already isolated from the public). At least they will be known for
> augmenting the power production of Bangladesh (Not talking about Rental
> power plants as they are nothing but a scheme to loot money from people)
> and stopping the curse of Load Shading in Bangladesh. Can they do it? We
> can dream of it but I am not sure, as most of the Rental power plants in
> Bangladesh are owned by AL leaned electricity producers and they will
> surely put a road block ahead of it. Can Hasina, the present Prime
> Minister, overcome their road block? Only time can say!
>
Secondly, it is interesting to note that historically the developed countries are very reluctant to advance grant or credit to `infrastructure projects' in less developed countries. You may know that they prefer to advance grants to projects that relate to human rights, democracy, gender empowerment, to NGOs and the like. In the areas of infrastructure development or agricultural growth that benefits poorer countries substantially, developed countries are shy in advancing credit and international financial agencies like World Bank and IMF, for example, always place roadblocks to provide subsidy to agricultural inputs, energy, seeds, etc although, USA and France pay billions of dollars as subsidy for their agricultural sector. This is the reality and such double standard is acceptable.
Dr. Hasan Chowdhury, like you, we all want to resolve the energy crisis issue in Bangladesh. However, the issue that Dr. Chowdhury raised has some gaps in his information on Sunetra project.
Sunetra is not a gas field at all since no field can be identified before exploration. The GOB has initiated the drilling activity there and hopefully the first exploration well will be done in a couple of months' time with good results. Let us hope for the best. Alongside, the GOB has taken other measures to augment gas supply-- only days back it has signed contract with Gazprom for drilling of 10 wells.
Dr. Chowdhury, you may know that many structures such as Sunetra can turn out to be dry.
In fact, Dr Hasan Chowdhury seems not to be informed well. All the rental plants of Bangladesh have been awarded with transparency. Even a vocal institution like the World Bank applauded GOB's imitative as timely and unavoidable and did not raise any issue. Unfortunately, at times, some quarters in the media, for one reason or another do not publish the whole truth and therefore, it's no wonder that Dr Chowdhury seems to have succumbed to the media campaign of BNP. All that you see in the media nowadays, unfortunately, is not always true. Dr. Hasan Chowdhury knows very well that if you listen to Rausch Limbo in USA, you may not get correct picture of USA.
It is a fact that the GOB could not be able to run all power plants to their full capacity yet for many reasons among which price is factor (in that case much of the scarcity would have disappeared). Since the selling price of power is much below the price to produce-- the gap made wider by the rise in the fuel price in international market. Furnace oil, which is the fuel for most of these plants, has risen from Taka 26 to Taka 60 in last 3 years. Can GOB subsidize such huge shortfall?
However, the GOB is trying to find ways to cover the gap next fiscal year through various measures. If it succeeds, then it will have at least the capacity to generate power to put much of the load shedding behind.
I thought of sharing some of the relevant facts. Thank you,
--- In Diagnose@yahoogroups.com, Choudhury Hasan <ruptan@...> wrote:
>
> If the news is right and the policy is in place, Bangladesh can have
> electricity load shading and power shortage stopped within a year. Sunetra
> Project has the single most important place in the mitigation of load
> shading of Bangladesh besides other state initiatives.
>
>
>
> http://energybangla.com/2012/02/06/263.html
>
>
>
>
>
> *"Last year, Bangladesh Petroleum Exploration Company (Bapex) had placed a
> Tk 2.79 billion development project proposal under the fund to determine
> the potential gas structure of Sunetra in Sunamganj and Netrakona districts.
> The field was estimated to have a reserve of over 2.5 trillion cubic feet
> (TCF) of gas, which is enough to meet existing demand for about three years
> or **the present supply shortage of 500 million cubic feet per day (mmcfd)
> for about 15 years**.
> The project will be implemented in two phases. Exploration will be
> completed in the first phase from December 2011 to June this year while
> development activities in the second phase from July 2012 to June 2014.
> The energy ministry recently asked Bapex to prepare a separate fiscal
> year-based development project proposal, said the ministry source.
> Bapex discovered Sunetra reserve last year through a seismic survey on a
> 260-square-kilometre area.
> Bapex expects to start an exploratory well at Sunetra in March."*
>
> * *
> Now all we need is a determination and hard work to move this project to
> implementation fast. If the AL government wishes they can fast track this,
> mobilize all the resources and finish within a year. This will undoubtedly
> help the country and its future chance of coming back to power (not sure as
> they are already isolated from the public). At least they will be known for
> augmenting the power production of Bangladesh (Not talking about Rental
> power plants as they are nothing but a scheme to loot money from people)
> and stopping the curse of Load Shading in Bangladesh. Can they do it? We
> can dream of it but I am not sure, as most of the Rental power plants in
> Bangladesh are owned by AL leaned electricity producers and they will
> surely put a road block ahead of it. Can Hasina, the present Prime
> Minister, overcome their road block? Only time can say!
>
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