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Tuesday, November 2, 2010

[ALOCHONA] Transit Facility-Govt to take fee, not duty :Muhith



Transit Facility-Govt to take fee, not duty :Muhith

 
Finance Minister AMA Muhith yesterday said the government is going to formulate new rules to fix fees for giving transit facility to India for transporting goods through Bangladesh."They will use our facilities to transport their goods. Our infrastructure will be used and that involves some costs for the government. So we'll have to take something; it may be called fee or anything," he told journalists after a meeting with the visiting mission chief of IMF at his ministry.

 

Muhith said the existing transit rules of the National Board of Revenue (NBR) will be amended and the amount of fees will be refixed.The minister added a transit facility already exists through waterways and the country receives fees of around Tk 5 crore annually. But there has been no such facility for road and rail transport. So new set of rules will be formulated for all the transit routes.

In June the NBR issued a set of rules on transit and transhipment fees during the announcement of the national budget. However, the Indian government has demanded waiver after Bangladesh applied it to the existing waterway transit.

The minister said the transit fees imposed by the NBR have been kept in abeyance. Duty couldn't be charged on India for transportation of its goods through Bangladesh as we have given them transit facility, he added.He said as per the international rules no duty can be imposed for giving transit but fees can be charged.

On the journalists' query as to whether the NBR circular was an outcome of misunderstanding, he said a bit of misunderstanding was there.However, Muhith said though duty cannot be imposed for transit it can be charged for giving transhipment facilities. Bangladesh already has a rule in this regard.

The government had no ready statistics as to how much revenue it would earn, but there are several data available with other organisations. The government is going to hold a seminar soon in this regard.The finance minister overruled the opposition's reservations about giving transit to India and said Bangladesh is a geographically transit country.

International Monetary Fund Mission Chief David Cowen led a six-member team at a meeting with Muhith. Prime Minister's Economic Affairs Adviser Mashiur Rahman, Bangladesh Bank Governor Atiur Rahman and Finance Secretary Mohammad Tareq were present at the meeting.

Muhith said they discussed with the IMF delegation the extended credit facility and they (IMF) are likely to give $1 billion. He added it is normally given for balance of payment support. He said now Bangladesh's import has increased requiring money for balance of payment support. Asked whether the issue of political appointment of directors in the state-owned-banks (SOBs) came up for discussion during the talks, the minister said those were on the table but were non-issues.He said the major issues were revenue mobilisation, power generation and budget cost of subsidy.
 


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[ALOCHONA] DCC elections chapter ‘closed’: Shakawat



DCC elections chapter 'closed': Shakawat
 
"I do not want to make any comment about the DCC elections. This chapter is closed now. The government may have a political plan about the DCC elections," election commissioner M Shakwat Hossain told reports at his office on Tuesday.
 
Referring to the recent comment of LGRD Minister Syed Ashraful Islam on UP, municipal and DCC elections, Shakwat Hossain said the EC is always ready to arrange all local government elections, as well as the DCC elections.He said that as per the election rules, the local government elections are being held within 180 days of the conclusion of their five-year term. "But, the five-year period has already expired, after negotiating with the Local Government Ministry the EC has to move towards holding these elections," he said.
 
Shakwat said that it will be very difficult to arrange these elections after next March-April due to ghastly weather.Replying to a question, he said the EC will hold dialogues with the political parties within this year."We have been working to arrange dialogues with the political parties. A little work remains to arrange the dialogues," he said.
 


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[ALOCHONA] Manufacturing sector's input in GDP declining fast Energy crisis hits production sector



Manufacturing sector's input in GDP declining fast Energy crisis hits production sector
"More than 800 new small, medium and large factories were not able to go production due to power and gas shortage,"

Country's manufacturing sector is reeling under deep crisis due to staggering power cut.The crisis also forced many industrial units to reduce productions causing drastic fall in Gross Domestic Products (GDP), says the economists.(The New Nation )

Contribution of the manufacturing sector in GDP was recorded at 7.1 per cent in FY 2003-04, in 2004-05 at 8.19 pc, in 2005-06 at 10.77 pc, 2006-07 at 9.72 pc, in 2007-08 at 7.21 pc, in 2008-09 at 6.68 pc and it was recorded at 5.92 per cent (provisional) in fiscal year 2009-10, according to Bangladesh Economic Outlook-2009-10.

"Manufacturing sector's contribution to the GDP has been on the declined in the recent years as growth of the sector was hampered seriously due to nagging power crisis," said noted economist and DU teacher of Economics Prof Abu Ahmed.

He said despite opportunity to grow faster, Bangladesh's growth prospects remained stagnant due to major constrains like power and gas supply.

"Wage hike in China creates opportunity for the local manufacturing sector, especially for the textile and garments industries, but the chance could not be materialised fully due to the slow process of power and gas development, ," he opined.

He said: "Delay in energy sector development is raising cost of production of local industries reducing competitiveness of its products in the global market.

However, the economist expressed his optimism to grab the opportunity saying, "The government is trying its level best and the real picture will visible after six months of time." "If the scenario would not improve after the said period, government's target for a sustainable industrial growth might not be achieved," Prof Ahmed feared.

Meanwhile, industry owners said present power crisis is not only hampering manufacturing growth but also inflicted huge operating lose due to additional investment power backup.

They said inadequate power supply has been severely affected industrial production, particularly in the textile industries, steel re-rolling mills, jute mills and garment factories.

"More than 800 new small, medium and large factories were not able to go production due to power and gas shortage," they informed.

Textile and garments industry, the largest industrial sector of the country, is the worst sufferers of power cut and low pressure of gas, according to the Bangladesh Textile Mills Association (BTMA) and the Bangladesh Garments Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA).

Textile and garments factories at Mirpur, Savar, Ashulia, Gazipur, Tangail, Norshindi and Chittagong area are suffering form long hours of loadshedding and gas shortage, the trade of the concern sector said.

"Production of textile industry declined by almost 40-50 per cent due to the inadequate power supply and low pressure of gas," told Abdul Hye Sarker, president of Bangladesh Textile Mills Association (BTMA) to The New Nation on Monday.

He said textile mills are witnessing power cuts around 9-10 hours a day, causing serious production loss.

"The country's mounting energy crunch could led to a sudden closure of our factories if gas production could not be enhanced soon," feared that the BTMA President.

According to BGMEA present electricity demand for RMG industries is around 720 MW power everyday. Against the demand it has been getting 375 MW.

"Impact of ongoing power crisis is huge on the industry as inadequate power supply has been pushing up production cost of the export-oriented RMG factories," BGMEA president Abdus Salam Murshedy.

He said to fight against the frequent power outages most of the RMG units have installed diesel generators, which are spending additional Tk 691.72 per year for diesel to run generators.

"We're struggling to stay competitive in the global market as it has raised cost of production to 25-30 per cent," he added.

Murshedy also said RMG factories at Mirpur Savar, Ashulia, Gazipur and Naryangonj are suffering huge power crisis at the moment as the government failed to supply uninterrupted electricity.

"The ongoing power and energy crisis, which is impeding investment environment in the country," said Saria Sadiq, managing director of BASF (BD) Limited.

He said Bangladesh can achieve its goal if it can overcomes the infrastructures bottleneck immediately.

"Industries have a little chance to grow within short period as the present power crisis will not improve soon," said a senior official of Power Development Board (PDB).

He said Bangladesh's economy has been growing at an average rate of six per cent since 2003-2004, and expanded industrial activities are raising the demand for energy day by day.

"The overall power demand was increased rapidly during the period but power generation remained same as per the demand," he added.

He further said that power demand for to the industrial use is increasing 20-30 per cent every year but power generation against the demand could not be enhanced.

The country's overall daily electricity generation was around 4000-4200 MW, against the demand of 5500 MW, and average power deficiency was reached at 1500 MW," PDB sources said.

"We expect that from 2015 onwards, supply of power and energy will not remain as an obstacle in the development process when we will able to generate 9426 MW power," he hoped.

Presently country's 80 per cent power plants are gas fired and if adequate gas supply can be ensured to the power plats that will help to add more 800 mw electricity to the national grid, he added,

Meanwhile, Petrobangla officials said about 2000 million cubic feet gas is produced daily from 17 out of 23 gas field while the daily gas demand is about 2500 million cubic feet.


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Re: [ALOCHONA] Why India's Rise is Business As Usual




Thank you for sharing your thoughts. History shows us these Portuguese  evangelicals  used  all tricks in the books to convert people from Hinduism.  Because of  there  deceit  most people in  State of  Karnataka  and specifically  city of Goa  became Christians.

Here is an example....

the converted Hindus retained their mother tongue (which in most cases, was Konkani) and caste status, even after becoming Christian. Based on their previous caste affiliations, the new converts were usually lumped into their new respective Catholic castes.[9] The converts from the priestly Brahmin class were Bamons (Konkani word for Brahmins). All Brahmin sub-castes such as the Gowd Saraswat Brahmins, Padyes, the Daivadnyas and some merchants, were lumped into the Christian caste of Bamons. These accounted for the largest group of converts. The converts from the Kshatriya caste who formed the second largest group were Charodis (Konkani word for Kshatriya); and converts from the labour class Shudra which formed the third largest group became Sudirs (Konkani word for Shudra).

[ Source:
Land and people of Indian states and union territories, Gopal K. Bhargava,, Gopal K.; S. C. Bhatt., p. 39.]

Albeit Muslims ruled majority of India around 1000 years, overwhelming majority of Indians remained non-Muslims [ Around 87%-90%]. Sadly many "Educated" Indians think that, Muslims used power and force to convert people into Islam. History and statistics do not support such "Indian fantasy". Islam clearly prohibits use of force in conversion [ Source: Al Qur'an 2:256].

I do not want any "Thank you" from Indian Hindus for this [ They deserved human dignity and protection like all of us] but the distortion of history and anti-islam bias is a "Real problem" area for Indians.

Today I read Rahul Gandhi ( Son of Late Rajiv Gandhi) was sued for comparing fanatics of RSS [ Member of this organization murdered Mahatma Gandi for being too kind to non-Hindus] with hardliner SIMI. If one of the most powerful Indian has to face such harassment from RSS, just imagine what an average Muslim will face for "Speaking his/her mind in India"?  Therefore "Freedom of speech" in India is another "Indian fantasy" we need to be aware of. Don't get me wrong there are also many fair minded people in India but if they are given wrong history and distorted anti-Islamic news everyday, it would be very hard for most fair minded Indians to be friendly with good Muslims.

I feel the whole sub-continent has to go to "Collective therapy" to be freed from stupidity of previous generations [ Here I point out to Muslims as well]. If people of this sub-continent learn to embrace authentic history of India, we ( People of sub-continent) can bring back "Golden days" again. Back then Europeans, Persians and Arabs used to dream about going to "India". Remember Columbus named north Americans "Red Indians"? There is a reason behind it. He was actually trying to get to India but accidentally discovered America!!

Shalom.




-----Original Message-----
From: Farida Majid <farida_majid@hotmail.com>
Sent: Sun, Oct 31, 2010 3:45 am
Subject: [ALOCHONA] Why India's Rise is Business As Usual

 
                 I am reposting a W. Dalrymple article that Rebecca had posted back in 2007.  No source URL is Rebecca's fault, not mine. 
 
                     In addition to what Dalrymple says here I would like to point out that unlike Columbus in the Caribbean islands and Spanish Conquistadors in South America, the Portugese were not able to engage in outright acts of genocide in India.  Standing in the way of turning savage heathens into civilized Christians were the Indian (Indo-Muslim) civilization.  Recent study of a Portugese language scholar from Brazil reveals how the Portugese royalties and Goan administrators were watching events in Agra's Mughal Court for an opportune moment to grab for the holy purpose of Christianization.  East India Company's paid factotums like John Stuart Mill and T. B. Macaulay hid their evangelicalistic desires under the cloak of European Enlightenment brought through an education system and an Indian Penal Code.
 
                Hindus of India should thank the Mughal India for providing a civilizational cover against the missionary European colonial zealots.
 
                        Farida Majid
............................................................................
 
Why India's Rise is Business As Usual

By WILLIAM DALRYMPLE 


 
The idea that India is a poor country is a relatively recent one. Historically, South Asia was always famous as the richest region of the globe. Ever since Alexander the Great first penetrated the Hindu Kush , Europeans fantasized about the wealth of these lands where the Greek geographers said that gold was dug by up by gigantic ants and guarded by griffins, and where precious jewels were said to lie scattered on the ground like dust.

At their heights during the 17th century, the subcontinent's fabled Mughal emperors were rivaled only by their Ming counterparts in China . For their contemporaries in distant Europe , they were potent symbols of power and wealth. In Milton 's Paradise Lost, for example, the great Mughal cities of Agra and Lahore are revealed to Adam after the Fall as future wonders of God's creation. This was hardly an overstatement. By the 17th century, Lahore had grown even larger and richer than Constantinople and, with its two million inhabitants, dwarfed both London and Paris .

What changed was the advent of European colonialism. Following Vasco da Gama's discovery of the sea route to the East in 1498, European colonial traders — first the Portuguese, then the Dutch and finally the British — slowly wrecked the old trading network and imposed with their cannons and caravels a Western imperial system of command economics. It was only at the very end of the 18th century, after the East India Company began to cash in on the Mughal Empire's riches that Europe had for the first time in history a favorable balance of trade with Asia . The era of Indian economic decline had begun, and it was precipitous. In 1600, when the East India Company was founded, Britain was generating 1.8% of the world's GDP, while India was producing 22.5%. By 1870, at the peak of the Raj , Britain was generating 9.1%, while India had been reduced for the first time to the epitome of a Third World nation, a symbol across the globe of famine, poverty and deprivation.

In hindsight, what is happening today with the rise of India and China is not some miraculous novelty — as it is usually depicted in the Western press — so much as a return to the traditional pattern of global trade in the medieval and ancient world, where gold drained from West to East in payment for silks and spices and all manner of luxuries undreamed of in the relatively primitive capitals of Europe.

It is worth remembering this as India aspires to superpower status. Economic futurologists all agree that China and India during the 21st century will come to dominate the global economy. Various intelligence agencies estimate that China will overtake the U.S. between 2030 and 2040 and India will overtake the U.S. by roughly 2050, as measured in dollar terms. Measured by purchasing-power parity, India is already on the verge of overtaking Japan to become the third largest economy in the world.

Looking back at the role Europeans have played in South Asia until their departure in August 1947, there is certainly much that the West can be said to have contributed to Indian life: the Portuguese brought the chili pepper, while the British brought that other essential staple, tea — as well as the arguably more important innovations including democracy and the rule of law, railways, cricket and the English language. All contributed to India 's economic resurrection. But the British should keep their nostalgia and self-satisfaction surrounding the colonial period within strict limits. For all the irrigation projects, the great engineering achievements and the famous imperviousness to bribes of the officers of the Indian Civil Service, the Raj nevertheless presided over the destruction of India 's political, cultural and artistic self-confidence as well as the impoverishment of the Indian economy.

Today, things are slowly returning to historical norms. Last year the richest man in the U.K. was for the first time an ethnic Indian, Lakshmi Mittal, and Britain 's largest steel manufacturer, Corus, has been bought by an Indian company, Tata. Extraordinary as it is, the rise of India and China is nothing more than a return to the ancient equilibrium of world trade, with Europeans no longer appearing as gun-toting, gunboat-riding colonial masters but instead reverting to their traditional role: that of eager consumers of the much celebrated manufactures, luxuries and services of the East.

William Dalrymple's latest book, The Last Mughal: The Fall of a Dynasty, Delhi 1857, has just been awarded the Duff Cooper Prize for History and Biography 
 
 
 




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Re: [ALOCHONA] The danger of Grameenism



Dear Alochok,

I am aware of the "Imperfections" of Grameen model. Growing up I have seen worst system in our country totally based on "Classic usury". I have seen a poor person paying as high as 120% interest on loan in a calender year. Yes there are many cases where people are still suffering from "Micro-credit" industry in Bangladesh. However alternatives are worst for those who need that money.

As I hinted lending organization can become partners of any group that are receiving loans. Therefore they will do research what industry will be viable for which part of the country. The partner model going to be more popular because majority of practicing Muslims will feel comfortable in this model [ guilt free].

Our NGOs have been doing most of the tasks/projects on their own. Therefore many cases of abuse took place. They can be regulated like private banks in our country.

I am sure there are people out there with many such ideas to improve "Grameen" model. At the same time, I think eliminating "Grameen" model [ Which also helped many people to get out of poverty] without any viable and acceptable alternative will be a wrong move.

-qr



-----Original Message-----
From: Faruque Alamgir <faruquealamgir@gmail.com>
To: alochona@yahoogroups.com; wideminds <WideMinds@yahoogroups.com>; notun_bangladesh@yahoogroups.com; dahuk <dahuk@yahoogroups.com>; Sonar Bangladesh <sonarbangladesh@yahoogroups.com>; Dr. Abid Bahar <abidbahar@yahoo.com>; Bangla Zindabad <Bangladesh-Zindabad@yahoogroups.com>; Amra Bangladesi <amra-bangladesi@yahoogroups.com>; Isha Khan <bd_mailer@yahoo.com>
Sent: Sat, Oct 30, 2010 1:29 pm
Subject: Re: [ALOCHONA] The danger of Grameenism

 
Friends

The Modern age invented "Micro-Credit" is a another tool of exploitation by the interest group serving the cause of the shrewed 1st World the so-called Champion  of the HR bla bla bla ????????? 

Robert McNamara, the great War Lord( Vietnam war) of Pentagon then President of WB and father of large scale NGO'sm throughout the globe had the mission n vision to lay a strong net work on the poor world in guise of dole giver(NGO's) and develop a formidable force called pressure group to keep the local politics on their toes and control.
He was very much successful in his endeavour which paved the way of birth of GRAMEEN/BRAC/PROSHIKA/ASHA ETC ETC N HUNDREDS OF MONEY LENDING SHYLOCK'S  in Bangladesh alone.
These NGOs are just implementing the cherished goal of the founding father n keeping the populace under their grip as defaulter n force them to act as pressure group favouring one or the other political parties or business interest groups.

Lot of evaluation has been done by concerned groups regarding the efficacy of the coveted "MICRO - CREDIT"  but the finding are not encouraging and exciting as propagated by them as well the Norwegian Committee for Peace.  

Faruque Alamgir

On Fri, Oct 29, 2010 at 1:14 AM, <qrahman@netscape.net> wrote:
 
There are too many Micro-credit institutions in our country. Too often I heard many horror stories about "Kisti" and how worried some people are about it.

However when you have a headache, you do not cut off your head, you should seek medication for i t and "Fix" the problem.

Few can argue if we would have been better off without any kind of micro-credit initiatives. We are imperfect people with "Perfect" expectations from others!!

Well, let us look into the "grameen" model and shave off what does not work and keep what works. Maybe these institutions needs to be monitored/regulated more. With our available mobile and IT technology, it is not hard to do.

Dr. Yunus has a little weakness for glamor world. Last time I checked, it is not a crime.
:-)

Personally I am happy that, he chose to think differently than others. He TRIED to help some women in front of him. How many of us goes beyond "Ideas" and makes an attempt to make a difference in lives of poor in our country?

If we think differently and become business "partners" of these people as the next "Phase/model" of micro-credit rolls out of our "Idea" factory. It may bring better results.

How about micro-insurance for reducing some of the risk factors from the very poor?

How about a "Pick performance analysis" of Grameen Bank, so we can repeat the successful ventures and stop the project that failed borrowers in the past?

I feel almost every problem we face has some solutions for them. We just have to look for it.





-----Original Message-----
From: Isha Khan <bdmailer@gmail.com>
Sent: Thu, Oct 28, 2010 12:57 pm
Subject: [ALOCHONA] The danger of Grameenism

 

The danger of Grameenism

By: Patrick Bond

Far from being a panacea for fighting rural poverty, microcredit can impose additional burdens on the rural poor, without markedly improving their socio-economic condition. (Also below, Khorshed Alam on why microcredit initiatives inspired by Mohammad Yunus's vision and implemented by Grameen Bank and other NGOs have not gone nearly as well in Bangladesh as has been publicised worldwide.)
 

For years, the example of microcredit in Bangladesh has been touted as a model of how the rural poor can lift themselves out of poverty. This widely held perception was boosted in 2006, when Mohammad Yunus and Grameen Bank, the microfinance institution he set up, jointly received the Nobel Peace Prize. In Southasia in particular, and the world in general, microcredit has become a gospel of sorts, with Yunus as its prophet.


Consider this outlandish claim, made by Yunus as he got started in the late 1970s: 'Poverty will be eradicated in a generation. Our children will have to go to a 'poverty museum' to see what all the fuss was about.' According to Milford Bateman, a senior research fellow at the Overseas Development Institute (ODI) in London who is one of the world's experts on Grameen and microcredit, the reason this rhetoric resonated with international donors during the era of neoliberal globalisation, was that 'they love the non-state, self-help, fiscally-responsible and individual entrepreneurship angles.'

Grameen's origins are sourced to a discussion Yunus had with Sufiya Begum, a young mother who, he recalled, 'was making a stool made of bamboo. She gets five taka from a business person to buy the bamboo and sells to him for five and a half taka, earning half a taka as her income for the day. She will never own five taka herself and her life will always be steeped into poverty. How about giving her a credit for five taka that she uses to buy the bamboo, sell her product in free market, earn a better profit and slowly pay back the loan?' Describing Begum and the first 42 borrowers in Jobra village in Bangladesh, Yunus waxed eloquent: 'Even those who seemingly have no conceptual thought, no ability to think of yesterday or tomorrow, are in fact quite intelligent and expert at the art of survival. Credit is the key that unlocks their humanity.'


But what is the current situation in Jobra? Says Bateman, 'It's still trapped in deep poverty, and now debt. And what is the response from Grameen Bank? All research in the village is now banned!' As for Begum, says Bateman, 'she actually died in abject poverty in 1998 after all her many tiny income-generating projects came to nothing.' The reason, Bateman argues, is simple: 'It turns out that as more and more 'poverty-push' micro-enterprises were crowded into the same local economic space, the returns on each micro-enterprise began to fall dramatically. Starting a new trading business or a basket-making operation or driving a rickshaw required few skills and only a tiny amount of capital, but such a project generated very little income indeed because everyone else was pretty much already doing exactly the same things in order to survive.'

Contrary to the carefully cultivated media image, Yunus is not contributing to peace or social justice. In fact, he is an extreme neoliberal ideologue. To quote his philosophy, as expressed in his 1998 autobiography, Banker to the Poor,

I believe that 'government', as we know it today, should pull out of most things except for law enforcement and justice, national defense and foreign policy, and let the private sector, a 'Grameenized private sector', a social-consciousness-driven private sector, take over their other functions.
At the time as he wrote those words, governments across the world, especially in the United States, were pulling back from regulating financial markets. In 1999, for example, Larry Summers (then US Treasury secretary and now President Barack Obama's overall economics tsar) set the stage for the crash of financial-market instruments known as derivatives, by refusing to regulate them as he had been advised.

The resulting financial crisis, peaking in 2008, should have changed Yunus's tune. After all, the catalysing event in 2007 was the rising default rate on a rash of 'subprime mortgage' loans given to low-income US borrowers. These are the equivalent of Grameen's loans to very poor Bangladeshis, except that Yunus did not go so far as the US lenders in allowing them to be securitised with overvalued real estate.

Yunus has long argued that 'credit is a fundamental human right', not just a privilege for those with access to bank accounts and formal employment. But reflect on this matter and you quickly realise how inappropriate it is to compare bank debt – a liability that can be crushing to so many who do not survive the rigours of neoliberal markets - with crucial political and civil liberties, health care, water, nutrition, education, environment, housing and the other rights guaranteed in the constitutions of countries around the world.

Microcredit mantras
By early 2009, as the financial crisis tightened its grip on the world, Yunus had apparently backed away from his long-held posture. At that time, he told India's MicroFinance Focus magazine the very opposite of what he had been saying: 'If somebody wants to do microcredit – fine. I wouldn't say this is something everybody should have' (emphasis added). Indeed, the predatory way that credit was introduced to vulnerable US communities in recent years means that Yunus must now distinguish his Grameen Bank's strategy of 'real' microcredit from microcredit 'which has a different motivation'. As Yunus told MicroFinance Focus, 'Whenever something gets popular, there are people who take advantage of that and misuse it.'

To be sure, Yunus also unveiled a more radical edge in that interview, interpreting the crisis in the following terms. 'The root causes are the wrong structure, the capitalism structure that we have,' he said. 'We have to redesign the structure we are operating in. Wrong, unsustainable lifestyle.' Fair enough. But in the next breath, Yunus was back to neoliberalism, arguing that state microfinance regulation 'should be promotional, a cheerleader.'

For Yunus, regulators are apparently anathema, especially if they clamp down on what are, quite frankly, high-risk banking practices, such as hiding bad debts. As the Wall Street Journal conceded in late 2001, a fifth of the Grameen Bank's loans were more than a year past their due date: 'Grameen would be showing steep losses if the bank followed the accounting practices recommended by institutions that help finance microlenders through low-interest loans and private investments.' A typical financial sleight-of-hand resorted to by Grameen is to reschedule short-term loans that are unpaid after as long as two years; thus, instead of writing them off, it lets borrowers accumulate interest through new loans simply to keep alive the fiction of repayments on the old loans. Not even extreme pressure techniques – such as removing tin roofs from delinquent women's houses, according to the Journal report – improved repayment rates in the most crucial areas, where Grameen had earlier won its global reputation among neoliberals who consider credit and entrepreneurship as central prerequisites for development.

By the early 2000s, even the huckster-rich microfinance industry had felt betrayed by Yunus' tricks. 'Grameen Bank had been at best lax, and more likely at worst, deceptive in reporting its financial performance,' wrote leading microfinance promoter J D Von Pischke of the World Bank in reaction to the Journal's revelations. 'Most of us in the trade probably had long suspected that something was fishy.' Agreed Ross Croulet of the African Development Bank, 'I myself have been suspicious for a long time about the true situation of Grameen so often disguised by Dr Yunus's global stellar status.'

Several years earlier, Yunus was weaned off the bulk of his international donor support, reportedly USD 5 million a year, which until then had reduced the interest rate he needed to charge borrowers and still make a profit. Grameen had allegedly become 'sustainable' and self-financing, with costs to be fully borne by borrowers.

To his credit, Yunus had also battled backward patriarchal and religious attitudes in Bangladesh, and his hard work extended credit to millions of people. Today there are around 20,000 Grameen staffers servicing 6.6 million borrowers in 45,000 Bangladeshi villages, lending an average of USD 160 per borrower (about USD 100 million/month in new credits), without collateral, an impressive accomplishment by any standards. The secret to such high turnover was that poor women were typically arranged in groups of five: two got the first tranche of credit, leaving the other three as 'chasers' to pressure repayment, so that they could in turn get the next loans.

At a time of new competitors, adverse weather conditions (especially the 1998 floods) and a backlash by borrowers who used the collective power of non-payment, Grameen imposed dramatic increases in the price of repaying loans. That Grameen was gaining leverage over women – instead of giving them economic liberation – is a familiar accusation. In 1995, New Internationalist magazine probed Yunus about the 16 'resolutions' he required his borrowers to accept, including 'smaller families'. When New Internationalist suggested this 'smacked of population control', Yunus replied, 'No, it is very easy to convince people to have fewer children. Now that the women are earners, having more children means losing money.' The long history of forced sterilisation in the Third World is often justified in such narrow economic terms.

In the same spirit of commodifying everything, Yunus set up a relationship with the biotechnology giant Monsanto to promote biotech and agrochemical products in 1998, which, New Internationalist reported, 'was cancelled due to public pressure.' As Sarah Blackstock reported in the same magazine the following year: 'Away from their homes, husbands and the NGOs that disburse credit to them, the women feel safe to say the unmentionable in Bangladesh – microcredit isn't all it's cracked up to be … What has really sold microcredit is Yunus's seductive oratorical skill.' But that skill, Blackstock explains, allows Yunus and leading imitators
to ascribe poverty to a lack of inspiration and depoliticise it by refusing to look at its causes. Microcredit propagators are always the first to advocate that poor people need to be able to help themselves. The kind of microcredit they promote isn't really about gaining control, but ensuring the key beneficiaries of global capitalism aren't forced to take any responsibility for poverty.
The big lie
Microfinance gimmickry has done huge damage in countries across the globe. In South Africa in 1998, for instance, when the emerging-markets crisis raised interest rates across the developing world, an increase of seven percent, imposed over two weeks as the local currency crashed, drove many South African borrowers and their microlenders into bankruptcy. Ugandan political economist Dani Nabudere has also rebutted 'the argument which holds that the rural poor need credit which will enable them to improve their productivity and modernise production.' For Nabudere, this 'has to be repudiated for what it is – a big lie.'

Inside even the most neoliberal financing agency (and Grameen sponsor), the World Bank, these lessons were by obvious by the early 1990s. Sababathy Thillairajah, an economist, had reviewed the Bank's African peasant credit programmes in 1993, and advised colleagues: 'Leave the people alone. When someone comes and asks you for money, the best favour you can give them is to say 'no'… We are all learning at the Bank. Earlier we thought that by bringing in money, financial infrastructure and institutions would be built up – which did not occur quickly.'

But not long afterwards, Yunus stepped in to help the World Bank with ideological support. When I met Yunus in Johannesburg, not long before South Africa's April 1994 liberation, he vowed he wouldn't take Bank funds. Yet in August 1995, Yunus endorsed the Bank's USD 200 million global line of credit aimed at microfinance for poor women. However, according to ODI's Bateman, the World Bank 'insisted on a few changes: the mantra of 'full cost recovery', the hard-line belief that the poor must pay the full costs of any program ostensibly designed to help them, and the key methodology is to impose high interest rates and to reward employees as Wall Street-style motivation.'

Bateman also remarks on the damage caused to Bangladesh itself by subscribing to the microcredit gospel: 'Bangladesh was left behind by neighbouring Asian countries, who all choose to deploy a radically different 'development-driven' local financial model: Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, China, Vietnam.' And the countries that were more reliant on neoliberal microfinance soon hit, Bateman insists, 'saturation, with the result of over-indebtedness, 'microcredit bubbles', and small business collapse.' Just as dangerous, Yunus's model actually 'destroys social capital and solidarity,' says Bateman. It is used up 'when repayment is prioritised over development. No technical support is provided, threats are used, assets are seized. And governments use microfinance to cut public spending on the poor and women, who are left to access expensive services from the private sector.' The Yunus phenomenon is, in short, a more pernicious contribution to capitalism than ordinary loan-sharking, because it has been bestowed with such legitimacy.

Bateman records extremely high microfinance interest rates 'everywhere'. In Bangladesh, for instance, these are around 30 to 40 percent; in Mexico, they go up as high as 80 percent. No wonder that in the most recent formal academic review of microfinance, by economist Dean Karlan of Yale University, 'There might be little pockets here and there of people who are made better off, but the average effect is weak, if not nonexistent.'

As the Wall Street Journal put it in 2001, 'To many, Grameen proves that capitalism can work for the poor as well as the rich.' And yet the record should prove otherwise, just as the subprime financial meltdown has shown the mirage of finance during periods of capitalist crisis.


The latest figures suggest that nearly 70 million people (out of 150 million total) in Bangladesh are still living below the poverty line; of those, about 30 million are considered to live in chronic poverty. Grameen Bank now has around seven million borrowers in Bangladesh, 97 percent of whom are women. Yet after decades of poverty-alleviation programmes what effect has Grameen had in its home country? The microcredit initiatives inspired by Mohammad Yunus's vision and implemented by Grameen Bank and other NGOs have not gone nearly as well in Bangladesh as has been publicised worldwide.

To start with, the terms of microcredit in Bangladesh are inflexible and generally far too restrictive – by way of weekly repayment and savings commitments – to allow the borrowers to utilise the newfound credit freely. After all, with a first repayment scheduled for a week after the credit is given, what are the options but petty trading? The effective interest rate stands at 30 to 40 percent, while some suggest it goes upwards of 60 percent in certain situations. Defaulters, therefore, are on the rise, with many being compelled to take out new loans from other sources at even higher interest rates.

Worryingly, in the families of some 82 percent of female borrowers, exchange of dowry has increased since their enrolment with Grameen Bank – it seems that micro-borrowing is seen as enabling the families to pay more dowry than otherwise.

Only five to 10 percent of Grameen borrowers have showed improvement of their quality of life with the help of microcredit, and those who have done will tend to have other sources of income as well. Fully half of the borrowers who could not improve were able to retain their positions by taking out loans from multiple sources; about 45 percent could not do so at all, and their position deteriorated. Many are thus forced to flee the village and try to find work in an urban area or abroad. It has now become clear that most Grameen borrowers spend their newfound credit for their daily livelihood expenditure, rather than on income-generating initiatives.

The main difference between microcredit lenders and feudal moneylenders was that the latter needed collateral. It is true that microcredit has created money flows in rural areas, but also that it created a process through which small-scale landowners can quickly become landless – if one cannot pay back the money at high interest rates, many are forced to sell their land. In cases of failure of timely repayment, instances of seizure by Grameen of tin roofs, pots and pans, and other household goods do take place – amounting to implicit collateral.

This does not mean that credit is not useful to the poor and powerless. The problem lies in the approach taken. Poverty is conceptualised extremely narrowly, only in terms of cash income; when in fact it has to do with all aspects of life, involving both basic material needs such as food, clothing and housing; and basic human needs such as human dignity and rights, education, health and equity. It is true that the rural economy today has received some momentum from microcredit. But the questions remain: Why has this link failed to make any significant impact on poverty? Why, despite the purported 'success' of microcredit, do people in distress keep migrating to urban centres? Why does a famine-like situation persists in large parts of Bangladesh, particularly in the north? Moreover, why does the number of people under the poverty line keep rising – alongside the rising microcredit?

In fact, poverty has its roots and causes, and expanding the credit net without addressing these will never improve any poverty situation. Experience shows that if countries such as Bangladesh rely heavily on microcredit for alleviating poverty, poverty will remain – to keep the microcredit venture alive. Grameen Bank's 'wonderful story' of prosperity, solidarity and empowerment has only one problem: it never happened.

~ Khorshed Alam

~ Patrick Bond is a senior professor at the University of KwaZulu-Natal School of Development Studies Centre for Civil Society in Durban, South Africa. Khorshed Alam is executive director of the Alternative Movement for Resources and Freedom Society, based in Dhaka.



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[ALOCHONA] U.S. Won't Be Top World Power By 2025



Analysts: By 2025, U.S. Won't Be Top World Power
 
by Tom Gjelten

U.S. intelligence agencies have concluded that the United States is likely to lose its dominant global position in the coming years, with economic and political power shifting to countries such as China and India.

That assessment, outlined in the "Global Trends 2025" report by the National Intelligence Council, contrasts sharply with the conclusions of a similar study released by the same agencies just four years ago. The earlier report projected "continued U.S. dominance" through the year 2020.

The new study, titled "A Transformed World," projects a "multipolar" global landscape, where the United States is merely "one of a number of actors on the world stage" and where the U.S. dollar will only be "first among equals" in a basket of international currencies.

"We're thinking of it as the rise of the rest, rather than as the decline of the United States," said Thomas Fingar, chairman of the National Intelligence Council, as he introduced the report Thursday.

Still, the assessment is largely sobering. The intelligence analysts who prepared the global outlook foresee increased international conflict over food, water, energy, and other scarce resources. International institutions, from the International Monetary Fund to the United Nations, will become less effective, owing to the multiplicity of global players. "Non-state actors," including tribal groups, religious organizations, private corporations and even organized criminal networks, will play more important roles.

Among the more startling conclusions in the global trends report is a judgment that an unnamed government in Eastern or Central Europe "could effectively be taken over and run by organized crime." The report also speculates that some states in Africa or South Asia could "wither away" as a result of the failure of their governments to provide basic services to the population.

By 2025, according to the analysts who prepared the report, China and India will be leading economic players, with Turkey, Indonesia and Iran in the "up and coming" category. The economic model that has largely prevailed since World War II — Western democratic capitalism — may no longer be favored. Instead, "state capitalism" such as that practiced in Russia and China could be ascendant.

In presenting the report Thursday at the Atlantic Council, Fingar said some countries that were recently persuaded to follow the Western economic model, such as those in the former Soviet bloc, have since become disillusioned.

"Much of the world that became democratic in the last 15 years has gone through more pain than gain," Fingar said. "They've made adjustments away from populist regimes, away from socialist regimes, away from one-party dominated systems, and they are still waiting for the payoff. … Now they have an alternative mode"." Fingar said the economic stress in these countries will be "exacerbated" by the current international financial crisis.

The intelligence analysts paid particular attention to major demographic factors that could contribute to global instability, especially in the Middle East. Fingar said countries in that region will face a burgeoning youth population in the coming years.

"That's a lot of raging hormones," Fingar said, "a lot of young people with the normal healthy disrespect for authority, informed of what their cohorts, perhaps in the big cities, across the border, across the sea, have that they don't have. [They are] a group that would be potentially mobilized for all kinds of things."

One positive development highlighted in the global trends report is the "waning" influence of terrorism, particularly as practiced by al-Qaida. Such a development, Fingar said, would be explained by the group's killing of fellow Muslims or its lack of a positive political program. "It's opposed to modernity," Fingar said. "It's opposed to democracy. It's opposed to a lot of things that the youthful population clearly wants. So the environment will become less hospitable."

One encouraging prediction: The intelligence analysts who prepared the global trends report suggest that a "worldwide shift" to a new energy technology that can replace oil "will be under way or accomplished by 2025." The problem: Energy supply won't match demand, meaning the potential for geopolitical conflict over energy resources could be severe.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=97295939



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[ALOCHONA] Kubani hats hijacked



Kubani hats hijacked
 
 


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[ALOCHONA] Fresh Amazon wonders



Fresh Amazon wonders
 
Left-Right: Ranitomeya amazonica, a newly discovered poison dart frog. Mico acariensi, the Rio Acari marmoset
 
Despite rapid deterioration of the rainforests across the globe, it is a relief to learn that the Amazon Rainforest, defying all the odds, is still thriving. According to a recent study finding by the global conservation organization World Wildlife Fund (WWF), at least 1,200 new species have been discovered in the Amazon ecosystem at an average rate of 1 in every 3 days during a decade-long study between the year 1999 and 2009. This is in fact a greater number of species than the combined total of new species found over a decade in other biologically diverse areas such as the Congo Basin, Borneo and the Eastern Himalayas.
 
Presented to the delegates from 193 countries in the last month's UN Convention on Biodiversity in Nagoya, Japan, the WWF's 58-page report titled "Amazon Alive: A decade of Discoveries 1999-2009 illustrated the details of the 1,200 species that were discovered within the study's time-frame. Experts believe that the number could have been higher had insects been included in the research. This significant study catalogued the discoveries of entirely new species of 39 mammals, 55 reptiles (28 snakes and 27 lizards), 500 spiders, 216 amphibians, 16 birds, 257 fishes and 637 plants. And amongst the new mammals, the finding includes that of 7 monkeys, a pink river dolphin, 2 porcupines, 8 mice, 9 bats, 6 opossums, 5 rats, a guinea pig, 13-foot-long anaconda, a bald-headed, rainbow-hued parrot and a tiny, blind, crimson catfish.
 
Conservationists are hoping that the number will grow in the years to come. It must be mentioned here that the Amazon forest, lovingly called the Amazonia is a vast region measuring more than 2.5 million square miles (6.7 million sq km) of 600 different types of land and freshwater habitats extending into Brazil, Bolivia, Peru, Ecuador, Colombia, Venezuela, Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana.
 
Amongst all the new species that have been discovered in this study by the WWF, quite a few of them stands out. And among those stellar cast includes, the Amazon River dolphin (Inia geoffrensis) or pink river dolphin, the Rio Acari marmoset or Mico accariensi (one of the seven new monkeys that was discovered in 2000), the Ranitomeya amazonia or the poison dart frog of Alpahuayo Mishana National Reserve, Peru, with a red and yellow pattern that looks like flames on its head, and legs patterned like water drops, the 13-feet long Eunectes beniensiswas snake or the first new species of anaconda identified in more than 70 years. Others include, a member of the true parrot family, the Pyrilia aurantiocephala, found only in the Lower Madeira and Upper Tapajos rivers in Brazil, the "goliath" catfish, measuring nearly 1.5 meters long and weighing 32 kg which normally exist on a diet of other fishes even though some of them have been caught with parts of monkeys in their stomachs! Amongst the 55 reptile species discovered, there includes 2 members of Elapidae, the most venomous snake family of the world. Amazon is also home to at least 40,000 plant species and this recent WWF study have discovered 637 new plant species which includes sunflowers, ivy, lilies, variety of pineapples and a custard apple.
 
Even though Amazon mothers countless species of wildlife however it's very existence is also under great threat as well. During the last 50 years, 17% of Amazonia, which is the world's largest rainforest, has been destroyed due to intense logging and clearing of forest for agricultural purposes. An area twice the size of Spain! Aside from sheltering outstanding varieties of life on Earth, the great Amazonia also absorbs 90-140 billion tons of carbon. WWF explains that even if a portion of this carbon is released into the atmosphere through further forest loss and land use changes, then it would accelerate global warming and end up devastating consequences on life on Earth. According to Francisco Ruiz, the leader of WWF's Living Amazon Initiative, "Urgent and immediate action is needed if we are to avoid this frightening scenario. The fate of the Amazon - and of its species whether known or yet to be discovered - depends on a significant shift in the current way development is embraced by all Amazon countries."
 


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