if bd denies transit to india what may happen? i figured it out this way,
SCENARIO 1: 1. mainland indian products and indian army cannot reach the seven sisters easily 2. so, 7 sis will suffer for consumer products, quality of living and unrest will increase 3. this situation will open up 7 sis market for bd products 4. sensing it, india will close trade between bd and 7 sis 5. eventually 7 sis will find themselves into misery and intensify movement against the central 6. in future, if any of the 7 sis is free, bd will have its market back
SCENARIO 2: 1. indian army will find it difficult to reach myanmar and protect indian investment there, when china has easier access to myanmar 2. increased unrest in the 7 sis may interest china to piss-off india
SCENARIO 3: 1. gas pipe line from myanmar to india through this corridor will not be possible 2. this will slow down india's growth and the gas sector investment in myanmar will not yield anything to them
SCENARIO 4: 1. india cannot force bd to accept the same route for asian highway
is any of the above wrong? is there anything to loose for bd?
india's latest cheap trick is sending the rice right after the demand on transit, are we still same as years ago to get carried away by this trick? |
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