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Saturday, May 26, 2012

Re: [mukto-mona] Will the BNP strike a deal with New Delhi?

Mosquitoes do not bother me at all. The days of political murders and military dictatorships are over. Even Saudis would not dare to orchestrate such stupidity in Bangladesh. It will lead to a civil war with catastrophic consequences for Bangladeshis. At the end of the day, US will side with AL, a far lesser devil than BNP/Jamat!
"All great truths begin as blasphemies." GBS

From: subimal chakrabarty <>
To: mukto-mona <>
Sent: Saturday, May 26, 2012 11:37 AM
Subject: [mukto-mona] Will the BNP strike a deal with New Delhi?

If you read Munshi or M. Anwar or any one in the gang, you know that they hardly rely on people for capturing power. Rather they will rely more on conspiracies. The history of the very birth of BNP (a brainchild of an army dictator named Zia) can explain this. AL came through great struggles while Zia simply hijacked power from the revolutionaries led by Taher whom and many other the former had to kill to consolidate power. If you look back and reflect on BNP's achievemnets, it has "sold out" the country (example, sharing the Ganges water) more than AL has. Once back to power for a prolonged period, they will repeat the same thing. 
Munshi should know that America is soft on Jamaat thanks to the manipulated lobbyists in DC. That automatically makes BNP a favorite of America. Only good news for AL is that India is getting more and more aligned with America and India finds a more reliable friend in AL, not BNP. 
Having said that I must have a word of caution here for AL: Rely on people's support, not the support of the elder brother.     

From: Shah Deeldar <>
To: Mohiuddin Anwar <>; "" <>; "" <>; "" <>
Cc: "" <>; "" <>; "" <>; "" <>; "" <>; "" <>; "" <>; "" <>; "" <>; Alochona Group <>
Sent: Saturday, May 26, 2012 7:40 AM
Subject: Re: [notun_bangladesh] Will the BNP strike a deal with New Delhi?

Sir, In democracy, you oust a government with people' mandate! The days of 1970-80s are gone. With Arab spring roaring around, a small fiery bazzar suicide can ignite the whole country in anytime. That is called people' power! Striking a deal with Indians and Americans would not be a deciding factor for winning an election. But, if you do not get along with your immediate bigger neighbor and world's top cop, US, you would not bring success to your country unless you are a big country with huge oil and gas reserve.  Obviously, we are none of that sort except we got a booming population with finite area.

The question is whether Tareque would be the same old wine in new bottle? Whether he would be more interested in stealing than ruling? Whether he is a democrat with his own mind or he be manipulated by Jamatis? In later scenario, he would be considered a dead man on arrival. You may win the election but may not be able to rule! For weaker states, the rules are already in place! We have no choice but to follow the rules. Or, else, we become the Somalias and Pakistans of the world. Even God would abandon us!

BNP/Jamat should tone down the rhetoric and show that they are responsible party and ready to take over the power in next election. Boycotting parliament and forcing people to observe Hartals every other day is not a good sign from a responsible party. BNP cadres might like thrill of burning buses and destroying properties but people don't!
Good Day!

"All great truths begin as blasphemies." GBS
From: Mohiuddin Anwar <>
Sent: Saturday, May 26, 2012 6:49 AM
Subject: Fw: [notun_bangladesh] Will the BNP strike a deal with New Delhi?

My understanding is that if needed to oust Awami League from the power BNP should make a deal with India and USA(with some conditions) as Awami League did in the past.After all
they can influence forming future government in Bangladesh.I beleve that process has been initiated already.

---------- Forwarded Message ----------
From: "mimunshi" <>
Subject: [notun_bangladesh] Will the BNP strike a deal with New Delhi?
Date: Fri, 25 May 2012 16:50:38 -0000

Will the BNP strike a deal with New Delhi to keep Tareque Rahman involved in politics?
I have refrained from writing on Bangladesh politics for the good part of 3 years but recent developments have impressed upon me the urgency of finding an answer to the question raised. Will the BNP ultimately strike a deal with New Delhi to keep Tareque Rahman in politics? The question is not as outrageous as it may initially seem, since Indian interests appear increasingly to coincide with that of the BNP. The ultimate objective of both is to keep US involvement and influence in the region to an absolute minimum. There are here four important factors at play that is bringing India and the BNP closer together: (1) Private US expressions of a deep and abiding aversion to Tareque Rahman's involvement in Bangladesh political life; (2) Western displeasure and vocal criticism of the present AL government which could eventually lead to it's downfall or a massive elections defeat in 2013; (3) US military presence in the South Asian region could potentially ignite tensions with China which neither India or the BNP would find desirable at this point in time or at any time in the near future;  (4) A military role (albeit limited like in 1/11) in Bangladesh politics (which could actually aid US military interests in the country) that neither India or the BNP would find acceptable and which could become a distinct possibility if the country continues on the present destructive path chosen by a highly irrational and vindictive Awami League. All four points have to be factored in when considering an answer to the question posed above. 

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