these discussions are arising from insufficient accurate information about tata's proposal asking assurance of energy (gas) is likely for a foreign investor but my intuition says NO to indians who considers bd as a prospective province, let me elaborate here considering we assure gas to them they wanted to invest in steel, power, fertilizer and coal sector. steel: their planned capacity was 2.3m tons/year when our maximum cumulative capacity has been 0.03m tons/year so far. we don't have supply shortage, so they could export and take away the foreign currency earned, if they were to sell here it could be easy to upset local producers by price benefit with that much capacity margin and eventually take over some leading local plants (50%acquisitionon plan), thus our market could be dependent on them power: 1000mw would be the largest single facility in bd. we need power, would they sell to us? at which price? at other ipp's price? when we are loosing at those ipp's. if they were to export power to india we could turn into even BIGGER LOSER, follow this link to know about their power plans, they are producing in bhutan and supplying in india, they need more power for eastern region!!! fertilizer: 1m tons/year would be the single largest urea production facility in bd and close to 1.5 times than present largest kafco (0.68m tons/year). as far as 'urea fertlizer' supply and demand situation in concerned in bd, typical shortage is 0.5m tons/year. again, would they sell to us? at which price? at kafco's price? when we are loosing there. if they were to export all of it, again we could be LOSER coal: we are yet to learn about coal resource management so nothing to consider from tata. other questions are, 1. what about government or private participation provision at this investment? 2. what about public participation? 3. what about key man power hiring from bd 4. what about transport capacity within our infrastructure (port, roads, rails) it just came into my mind, why tata wanted to invest that big in bd when we do not have enough reserve of gas, political stability and suitable infrastructure? if it is only gas they need, tata can still invest in myanmar where india has gas sector investment. after few years if bd cannot supply gas they will ask for gas from myanmar and once gas from myanmar is here, it won't take long to reach india 'through' bd. what else way we can put it? --- On Wed, 8/6/08, M. <masud.cool@gmail.com> wrote: From: M. <masud.cool@gmail.com> |
__._,_.___
[Disclaimer: ALOCHONA Management is not liable for information contained in this message. The author takes full responsibility.]
To unsubscribe/subscribe, send request to alochona-owner@egroups.com
Your email settings: Individual Email|Traditional
Change settings via the Web (Yahoo! ID required)
Change settings via email: Switch delivery to Daily Digest | Switch to Fully Featured
Visit Your Group | Yahoo! Groups Terms of Use | Unsubscribe
Change settings via the Web (Yahoo! ID required)
Change settings via email: Switch delivery to Daily Digest | Switch to Fully Featured
Visit Your Group | Yahoo! Groups Terms of Use | Unsubscribe
__,_._,___