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Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Re: [vinnomot] To MBI Munshi: India's food shortage statistics

I had not realized that you had taken this discussion
to Vinnomot as well. It is usually a common courtesy
to inform the other discussants that you are changing
forum. I think this shows a great deal of insincerity
on your part. I tried to follow the link you provided
but it goes no where. In any case the article you
provided refers to shortfalls in rice and wheat but
the Indian government has banned export on several
essential food items for more than a year and it is
these that have seen the sharpest rise in prices. So
basically your link explains nothing since rice had
not shown the steepest price escalation in recent
months in Bangladesh. I should also inform the reader
that Bangladesh Online Forum, Chottala and Daily
Online Alochona are also all party to this
misinformation perpetrated by Indian intelligence RAW
as they only put uo selective discussions that favours
Indian interests and perspectives.

Regards

MBI Munshi


--- Dr Biplab Pal <biplabpal2000@yahoo.com> wrote:

> It seems MBI Munshi wanted me to cite some reference
> as to the level of shortage of food in India-I never
> received his letter -neither I do visit forums
> regularly. Here are some statistics --it is about 5
> million ton for this year. There was so much of
> media debate on it in India I thought Mr Munshi, who
> writes so much on Indian design, must be knowing it.
> I am surprised with such a little knowledge on
> India, he writes book on India's design!
>
>
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Cons_Products/India_may_have_to_import_rice/articleshow/2493816.cms
>
> NEW DELHI:The country could face a supply shortfall
> of up to 5 million tonnes of rice, according to
> indepedent estimates given to the consumer affairs
> ministry, threatening India with exposure to rice
> imports.
>
> Annual rice production and consumption figures
> from 2003-04 to 06-07 show a steady increase in the
> latter by around 1-1.5 million tonnes each year, In
> 2006-07, rice production stood at 92.7 million
> tonnes compared with a consumption of 91.8 million
> tonnes.
>
> With the existing tight supply on wheat this year,
> the demand for rice is not expected to be lower than
> 1.5 million tonnes, and could be higher, in fact.
> However, kharif rice production has been pegged at
> the same level as last year for 07-08, at 81.15
> million tonnes, notwithstanding concerted mega food
> security programmes for increasing acreage such as
> the National Food Security Mission (NFSM), after key
> states such as Punjab, Haryana, W Bengal and MP
> reported marked loss in acreage and crop this year
> at the recent National Conference on Rabi Campaign,
> signalling the dangers on domestic rice supply. In
> addition, rabi rice production is about 10.5-11
> million tonnes.
>
> In all, that makes it around 92 million tonnes of
> rice for the crop year compared with an average
> projected consumption of around 94 m tonnes. In
> view of the shortage in wheat supply — wheat buffer
> level with the Centre is expected to be lower than
> prescribed on April 1, 2008 — and accoutning for
> population growth, consumption of rice (including
> PDS, welfare schemes, food security buffer and open
> market sales) is expected to be higher this year,
> closer to 96 million tonnes or higher. Even going
> by tautly scripted maths, the supply shortfall in
> rice, therefore, is expected to be close to 5
> million tonnes. By January 1, the PDS shortfall is
> projected at atleast 3 m tonne, in addition to
> another 2 million tonnes shortage on the buffer
> levels.
>
> What spells worse news is the country's negative
> experience with wheat imports from the global
> market, where the price is seen to escalate in a
> marked manner once India intervenes with a massive
> and sudden demand for food grains. "The pace of the
> country's population growth and the pace of increase
> in consumption and demand for foodgrains besides the
> prevailing economic situation ill, infact, precludes
> high priced imports on a regular basis to maintain
> food security as a non-viable option" a sectoral
> analyst said.
>
> Significantly, the current exigencies on the rice
> production and supply front should explain why there
> is intense pressure on the Centre to announce,
> perhaps for the first time ever, a second bonus for
> paddy so soon after a belated bonus was announced
> just recently.
>
>
> var RN = new
> String (Math.random()); var RNS =
> RN.substring (2,11); b2 = ' ';
> if (doweshowbellyad==1)
> bellyad.innerHTML = b2;
>
>
>

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