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Monday, May 26, 2008

FW: [ALOCHONA] Internal instability invites external intervention

Bangladesh seems to be in deep trouble. All started by political corruptions. Economic corruption was second to political corruptions. Bangldesh has a long tradition of economic corruption. But this was not like a fire that completely burns the house. It was like a hole on the roof. Rain and storm water would damage the house, but that could be repaired, if appropriate measures would be taken. However, the political corruption is like fire and burning the whole house and there is a possibility that it may totally ruin the house if this fire is not put out on time. All political parties since the creation of Bangladesh including the Army are absolutely responsible to bring this country in this situation. Whatever happened in the past, we must all try to control the damage done to our country, and the only way is reconcilliation and unity of all public, political parties, and army of Bangladesh. Without this, Bangladsh would loose its footing on its own soil. Heinous intruders are watching and waiting to grab and establish their grip on this soil, as soon as they get chance, they would do it. India would not spare any chance to incorporate this land within itself, Pakistan wants to dominate this land back like East Pakistan (they already tried it in Afganistan), Saudis and other Arab countries are trying their best with money and religion to create their bona fide caders to take up political powers and convert it into a rouge country. This triangular fight is going in the country so severley that is tearing the country into pieces. A number of people are loosing the allegiance to the country and becoming the caders of one or the other evil forces. In this situation, the investors of politics and money from the world powers such as USA and UK, are becoming more and more alarmed day by day. They want stability and do not want to see changes in Bangladesh. That notion was the main reason why many of these countries supported the present government. They want to keep the country stable and so they do not want to see that the internal chaos brings an abrupt change in Bangladesh. But the present Government is backed by the army who are inept in public administration and tend towards imposing military control. This does not bring long term stability in the country.  Initially there was no other option at the time when the ruling party became extremely politically and economically corrupt and the opposition engaged into the destruction of lives and properties so intensely that it was a necessity to call up army to stop violence. Once army got power, did never back off. This is the army composed of our brothers and sisters, not by the people from any foreign country, and so should understand that their mis-steps may bring misery to their own brothers and sisters and may cost the country totally. It is a solemn call to everyone, please all of our brothers and sisters from all walks of life, come up to a common platform and brainstorm how the country can be saved fron the forign intervention, either by an external army or by their internal caders. 

To: khabor@yahoogroups.com; rehman.mohammad@gmail.com; alochona@yahoogroups.com; mbimunshi@gmail.com; dhakamails@yahoogroups.com; notun_bangladesh@yahoogroups.com
From: bd_mailer@yahoo.com
Date: Sat, 24 May 2008 21:32:39 -0700
Subject: [ALOCHONA] Internal instability invites external intervention

Internal instability invites external intervention

I
t does not need an expert in the history of international relations to predict that internal political and social polarizations leading to instabilities within a state invariably invite external interventions, both covert and overt. The latest example of this is Kosovo which was a part of Serbia. Internal instabilities in Serbia erupted in civil war which invited external intervention by a US led coalition and ultimately Kosovo unilaterally declared independence supported by the USA and the EU. Other examples are Afghanistan and Iraq, both of which the US has directly occupied. Less overt but equally effective has been the US intervention in Pakistani politics over the last one decade. Such events in Africa are too numerous to cite.
 

States intervene in other states because of two reasons: One, when a destabilized or failing state possesses resources which other states need - intervention, often armed, by other states becomes necessary to secure and preserve those resources; examples are Iraq and Afghanistan. Two, when a destabilized or failing state tends to release forces which may exacerbate existing instabilities in neighboring states - intervention, both direct and covert become necessary to contain and limit the damage; examples are Somalia, Ethiopia and many other states in Africa.

The case of Bangladesh falls within these two aspects mentioned above. Bangladesh possesses limited energy resources which neighboring states might think they need and any severe instability in Bangladesh will have spill-over effects into neighboring states. There is no doubt that our neighbor India is not only keeping a close watch on the unfolding situation inside our Country but is also actively involved in our politics to ensure that its interests are well protected. Other powers such as the USA and EU are not so much concerned about Bangladesh as about India. Any large-scale social and political unrests, conflict and chaos in Bangladesh will invariably affect India adversely particularly in its separatist-prone south-eastern regions which will then affect the burgeoning Indian economy in which the USA and EU have invested so heavily. Moreover, in order to protect itself, India might decide to militarily preempt should it see a situation of civil conflict or civil war in Bangladesh, in which case the entire region would face a period of extreme instability such as that of 1971. Worries and calculations such as these have prompted India, USA and UK to openly comment about what sort of politics and government Bangladesh ought to have.

For the time being however, these foreign powers are insisting on elections, which they hope would dampen any further social and political unrest. To that effect, representatives of these foreign powers along with our politicians, the Emergency Government and the Bangladesh Army might well be cobbling together a solution but that solution would only be a temporary one , deferring the main issues - the inherent contradictions in our body-politic, the resolutions of which is essential if long tern stability is to be obtained. Foreign power interventions, covert now, might well take a more ominous overt form if we cannot sort ourselves out but perhaps some within us want that overt foreign intervention and might well be working for it.
 



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