Obama won Propaganda, McCain will be the President
I start with today's (10/27) banner headline on Drudge report (www.drudgereport.com ), a must read website even for the elite media in America. It reads, "ABC/ CBS/ NBC/ NYT/ LAT/WSJ/CNN/MSNBC/AP/REUTERS/AFP/POLITCOFT/TIME/WASHPOST/NEWSWEEK: Can they all be wrong?
One week from now, America will choose its 44th President. Who will that be, McCain or Obama? In Bangladeshi community almost everybody will say, it's Obama, even in my home, my kids are saying, it's Obama. One of my friends, Shyamal, who once thought Obama could not win, now thinks that economy will put Obama over the top. Is it really so?
My friend Dr. Ali has a differing view. Frankly, I find very few Muslims against Obama. On the contrary, plenty of Bangladeshi Hindus living in NY supports McCain. Although, it does not matter whom we support, but I have reason to believe that Obama can't win at this time, even though the media is 100% behind him.
My reading is, Obama himself knows that he will lose and that was the reason he looked gloomy during the 3rd debate. If debate was only criteria to decide an election, Obama had already lost it. At this time, people are looking for 'October Surprise'. In an atmosphere where the media will spin anything in Obama's favor and hail even his worst performances as victories-- I doubt you will get to see an October surprise to the likes of "Bush's drunken driving arrest in 2000 election cycle". Media simply will not do their job. But Barack Hossain Obama's whole life is a surprise---and the American people are well aware of it.
Why I am saying Obama will lose? Every week for the Last 8 months, I had to go to one remote village in NY, about 170 miles away from the city, where most are democrats and predominantly white. After exiting from 87N I had to go 40 miles deep into the villages. In last March/ April I had seen only one Obama sign in those 40 miles. In September I had started seeing change and in last week I saw 3/4 signs of Obama and 8/9 signs of McCain. What does that tell? If this is the situation in NY, what is the situation in South?
That is not all. People who are lifelong democrats are reluctant to vote for Obama. Just ask around. Now you ask, "what about the polls?' Polls can be deceiving particularly when media is acting as PR firms for Obama's campaign. Just last week one Nebraska woman complained that she received a phone from "Gallup Poll" that appeared on her caller ID. The caller asked how she would rate Bush's performance. She answered "good". Then the caller paused and asked her to stay on the line. When she came back, she asked what was the most important issue for her deciding who should be America's next President. Her answer was "America's safety". The caller again asked her to hold ...only this time the caller never came back. Do you think the pollster was interested about hearing her opinion. Besides, every poll that are conducted this year the poll more democrats than republicans. That is the fact, just read the methodology of the polls. They assume there are more Democrats in America than there are Republicans.
Hillary is a big factor in this election. And Hillary supporters, may vote for McCain. If Obama wins, he will try to be in office for 8 years? His VP will take another chance? In those 12 years Hillary will be too old to contest? Supporters do understand that. If McCain wins, he will not win the 2nd term. His VP will not run, and even if she runs, democrats Hillary or Al-Gore will have a better chance to win. What about that 12 years cycle? After 12 years of republican rule, democrats run for 8 years? Moreover, at this time, both the house & Senate is under democrat control, will American voters give the White House also to democrats? Usually, they don't.
Voting has already begun in 31 states. You will hear in the media that it is hugely to Obama's advantage. Zogby ran a survey, and the astonishing truth is that both Obama and McCain are faring equally in the early voting. What is interesting is that in Florida roughly 200,000 republicans asked for absentee ballots and about 140,000 democrats did the same. So you measure the intensity level.
There is a lot of talk about Sara Palin. Right or wrong, McCain did the smart choice choosing Sara, on the other side Obama made a blunder in choosing his running mate. Obama's decision proves that he is not confident to run the administration, so he needed an well experienced vice president, if at all he can get in to white House! He even uttered it in debate. Asked about Iraq, Obama said his VP will know what do to. Sara Palin already had 5 years of elective office experience while Obama started working as a "Community Organizer". Besides she has executive experience as a Mayor and Governor. Obama's experience is that he delivered a speech in 2004 at the Democratic convention. Sara jolted the base of the Republican Party, which will help McCain immensely. It was said that McCain will not get all the votes of his own party, Sara's inclusion made it sure that not a single republican vote will go in favor of Obama. On the other side, McCain surely will get some democratic crossover votes and Sara's presence will not hamper that. Women & Youngsters were Obama's core supporter, Sarah will divide that for sure. Sarah is a big plus for McCain, while Biden will be a minus factor for Obama.
Economy surely is a vital factor in this election and none of the candidates made the case that they can change the economy overnight. Obama has been hammering hard that, McCain will be Bush's 3rd term! Well, McCain answered that right during the debate. Actually, economy is the only reason, for which Obama is still in contest, otherwise, he would have been lost morally by this time. And people are also aware of McCain's records of independence and decades of service.
All the chatter in the media is irrelevant. Just look around and ask people, not who will win, but who will they vote for. Lifelong democrats, people who never voted republican are pulling the lever this year for McCain. And the Obama mantra "redistribution of wealth" however belatedly is blowing a favorable wind behind McCain's sail. People are coming home.
Al Gore had lost to Bush partly because Muslims voted against him, because he had chosen Lieberman, a Jew, as his running mate. May be, Obama will lose this time because almost all the Blacks & Muslims are supporting him. Funny is that while Blacks & Muslims can't go above sectarian politics, they are expecting others to go above that! Usually, that is the case, but that may not be the case at this time. I just passed a very busy day in Washington, D.C. yesterday, I asked 7/8 people, mostly white (I don't know their party affiliation, except one), who will win? Each of them answered, may be Obama, but I will vote for McCain. The exceptional one, who told that she doesn't belong to either party, told me that, she felt safer with McCain. I told her, if my today's experience is correct, then Obama will win with the press but McCain will be the President of the United State of America. She asked: Really? Even under the dim light in the restaurant, I did not miss to see the brightness of her face.
Sitangshu Guha
Pradip Das
27th Oct 2008
Moderator's Note: Mukto-Mona does not officially support any candidate in the elections though individual members participate in cheerleading for one or another candidate. It is ridiculous of the member here to claim that "MM" does not like this post. Considering the loud drumbeats that some members have been making for one or another candidate, some of them are certain to look silly once ther esults are out. For most of the balanced and detached members here, there will be reason to laugh at those who end up looking silly once the results are out. __._,_.___
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